Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 417.07 | 12095 |
|
| Goals | 1.07 | 31 |
|
| Assists | 0.86 | 25 |
|
| Saves | 1.34 | 39 |
|
| Shots | 2.97 | 86 |
|
| Demos | 0.24 | 7 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 417.07 | #83 / 1213 | #11 / 166 |
| Goals | 1.07 | #114 / 1213 | #20 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.86 | #60 / 1213 | #9 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.34 | #414 / 1213 | #56 / 166 |
| Demos | 0.24 | #915 / 1213 | #129 / 166 |
53% of the season is played (29 → ~54 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (16 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12095 | 22522 | 22112 | 22112 | 21946 – 22278 |
| Goals | 31 | 58 | 56 | 53 | 48 – 64 |
| Assists | 25 | 47 | 45 | 43 | 37 – 52 |
| Saves | 39 | 73 | 72 | 67 | 63 – 82 |
| Shots | 86 | 160 | 158 | 148 | 144 – 172 |
| Demos | 7 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 12 – 22 |
| MVPs | 7 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 – 16 |
From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 275.4 |
| Avg boost | 49.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 422.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1387.1 |
| % supersonic | 7.3% |
| % time high in air | 4.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2613.6 |
| % time attacking third | 21.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 34.2% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Rival | 16 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.62 | 250 |
| S26 | Challenger | 29 | 1.07 | 0.86 | 1.34 | 275 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.07 | 1.05 | 0.9 – 1.12 |
| Assists/game | 0.86 | 0.76 | 0.66 – 0.81 |
| Saves/game | 1.34 | 1.25 | 1.1 – 1.33 |
| Shots/game | 2.97 | 2.86 | 2.67 – 3.0 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike The Ox | S23 | Challenger | 1.02 | 0.8 | 1.64 | 1.19 |
| MauiDestroYa | S14 | Challenger | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| Bev ski | S19 | Rival | 1.12 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.34 |
| Gambit | S26 | Contender | 0.79 | 1.0 | 1.29 | 1.42 |
| BlackCoop03 | S22 | Contender | 1.07 | 0.64 | 1.32 | 1.50 |
| Merk890 | S24 | Rival | 0.86 | 0.76 | 1.08 | 1.55 |
| Abeillonnaise | S26 | Prospect | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| EvilSuperman_ | S21 | Amateur | 0.88 | 0.96 | 1.33 | 1.58 |
| lone wolf | S26 | Prospect | 0.71 | 0.93 | 1.21 | 1.61 |
| LostZealous | S20 | Prospect | 1.14 | 0.8 | 1.37 | 1.61 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.