Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 412.58 | 12790 |
|
| Goals | 1.16 | 36 |
|
| Assists | 0.61 | 19 |
|
| Saves | 1.13 | 35 |
|
| Shots | 3.19 | 99 |
|
| Demos | 0.74 | 23 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 412.58 | #88 / 1215 | #8 / 134 |
| Goals | 1.16 | #55 / 1215 | #8 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.61 | #316 / 1215 | #25 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.13 | #654 / 1215 | #57 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.74 | #652 / 1215 | #62 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (31 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (97 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12790 | 19804 | 19471 | 19471 | 19345 – 19596 |
| Goals | 36 | 56 | 54 | 54 | 48 – 61 |
| Assists | 19 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 24 – 34 |
| Saves | 35 | 54 | 54 | 55 | 47 – 61 |
| Shots | 99 | 153 | 150 | 149 | 139 – 161 |
| Demos | 23 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 30 – 41 |
| MVPs | 11 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 13 – 20 |
From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 311.1 |
| Avg boost | 47.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 394.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1430.7 |
| % supersonic | 7.3% |
| % time high in air | 2.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2937.8 |
| % time attacking third | 21.1% |
| Demos / game | 0.7 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 35.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 335 |
| S21 | Challenger | 8 | 0.62 | 0.5 | 0.88 | 305 |
| S22 | Challenger | 7 | 1.29 | 0.57 | 1.14 | 303 |
| S23 | Challenger | 26 | 0.58 | 0.31 | 1.04 | 303 |
| S24 | Challenger | 42 | 0.83 | 0.14 | 1.33 | 302 |
| S25 | Prospect | 21 | 0.76 | 0.29 | 1.52 | 270 |
| S26 | Contender | 31 | 1.26 | 0.77 | 1.13 | 311 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.26 | 1.22 | 1.12 – 1.33 |
| Assists/game | 0.77 | 0.75 | 0.62 – 0.75 |
| Saves/game | 1.13 | 1.21 | 1.03 – 1.27 |
| Shots/game | 3.61 | 3.41 | 3.22 – 3.67 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PrismBack. | S17 | Rival | 1.42 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| ZeroPop11 | S18 | Rival | 1.25 | 0.92 | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| DumplingsAreGod | S25 | Prospect | 1.3 | 0.62 | 1.2 | 1.18 |
| RSC Raven | S25 | Master | 1.25 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 1.24 |
| Dooober | S21 | Elite | 1.12 | 0.75 | 1.12 | 1.30 |
| yoshawatt | S22 | Contender | 1.37 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 1.38 |
| Jackowanou | S21 | Veteran | 1.38 | 0.75 | 1.12 | 1.41 |
| Blissful Beluga | S26 | Rival | 1.18 | 0.57 | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| ShinxX403 | S23 | Challenger | 1.26 | 0.52 | 1.15 | 1.45 |
| gregy. | S17 | Veteran | 1.17 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.49 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.