Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 282.8 | 9898 |
|
| Goals | 0.54 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.51 | 18 |
|
| Saves | 1.0 | 35 |
|
| Shots | 1.86 | 65 |
|
| Demos | 1.54 | 54 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 282.8 | #820 / 1215 | #85 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.54 | #768 / 1215 | #88 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.51 | #513 / 1215 | #46 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.0 | #738 / 1215 | #68 / 134 |
| Demos | 1.54 | #121 / 1215 | #8 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (35 → ~54 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (221 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9898 | 15271 | 15392 | 15392 | 15278 – 15506 |
| Goals | 19 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 25 – 35 |
| Assists | 18 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 23 – 32 |
| Saves | 35 | 54 | 54 | 55 | 48 – 61 |
| Shots | 65 | 100 | 102 | 102 | 93 – 111 |
| Demos | 54 | 83 | 81 | 83 | 73 – 89 |
| MVPs | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 – 9 |
From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 312.0 |
| Avg boost | 50.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 437.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1354.5 |
| % supersonic | 6.5% |
| % time high in air | 2.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3122.9 |
| % time attacking third | 18.2% |
| Demos / game | 1.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 25.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Prospect | 35 | 0.4 | 0.46 | 1.23 | 307 |
| S21 | Prospect | 4 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 1.0 | 316 |
| S22 | Contender | 47 | 0.74 | 0.53 | 1.13 | 323 |
| S23 | Prospect | 55 | 0.56 | 0.47 | 1.09 | 338 |
| S24 | Prospect | 53 | 0.66 | 0.42 | 1.17 | 344 |
| S25 | Contender | 31 | 0.61 | 0.29 | 1.19 | 319 |
| S26 | Contender | 31 | 0.55 | 0.48 | 1.1 | 312 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.55 | 0.58 | 0.5 – 0.68 |
| Assists/game | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.38 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 1.1 | 1.15 | 1.08 – 1.25 |
| Shots/game | 1.87 | 2.0 | 1.84 – 2.18 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shraggaholic | S25 | Contender | 0.61 | 0.29 | 1.19 | 1.10 |
| NeitherNick | S14 | Amateur | 0.64 | 0.45 | 0.81 | 1.30 |
| Shraggaholic | S22 | Contender | 0.74 | 0.53 | 1.13 | 1.32 |
| Laguna | S20 | Rival | 0.58 | 0.5 | 1.42 | 1.47 |
| Chicken | S25 | Veteran | 0.5 | 0.56 | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| Bobby Dangler. | S19 | Prospect | 0.58 | 0.58 | 1.5 | 1.56 |
| tempo_rl_ttv | S26 | Contender | 0.44 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Washyman111670 | S21 | Contender | 0.57 | 0.5 | 0.79 | 1.56 |
| VickyViksta | S17 | Challenger | 0.5 | 0.36 | 1.14 | 1.59 |
| Rocci | S22 | Amateur | 0.48 | 0.38 | 1.14 | 1.61 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.