Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 391.48 | 12919 |
|
| Goals | 0.97 | 32 |
|
| Assists | 0.58 | 19 |
|
| Saves | 1.52 | 50 |
|
| Shots | 3.12 | 103 |
|
| Demos | 1.58 | 52 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Veteran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 391.48 | #152 / 1215 | #21 / 170 |
| Goals | 0.97 | #183 / 1215 | #30 / 170 |
| Assists | 0.58 | #398 / 1215 | #68 / 170 |
| Saves | 1.52 | #238 / 1215 | #46 / 170 |
| Demos | 1.58 | #112 / 1215 | #20 / 170 |
56% of the season is played (33 → ~59 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (192 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12919 | 23098 | 22908 | 22908 | 22744 – 23071 |
| Goals | 32 | 57 | 56 | 56 | 48 – 64 |
| Assists | 19 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 28 – 40 |
| Saves | 50 | 89 | 89 | 87 | 79 – 99 |
| Shots | 103 | 184 | 182 | 181 | 167 – 196 |
| Demos | 52 | 93 | 90 | 91 | 80 – 101 |
| MVPs | 6 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 7 – 14 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 392.9 |
| Avg boost | 47.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 483.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1581.6 |
| % supersonic | 14.7% |
| % time high in air | 4.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2982.7 |
| % time attacking third | 18.6% |
| Demos / game | 1.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 30.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Rival | 15 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.0 | 348 |
| S22 | Challenger | 27 | 0.56 | 0.48 | 1.63 | 356 |
| S23 | Rival | 52 | 1.04 | 0.52 | 1.0 | 395 |
| S24 | Rival | 61 | 0.85 | 0.64 | 1.05 | 399 |
| S25 | Veteran | 37 | 0.95 | 0.51 | 1.14 | 382 |
| S26 | Veteran | 32 | 0.94 | 0.59 | 1.72 | 393 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.94 | 0.91 | 0.83 – 1.0 |
| Assists/game | 0.59 | 0.6 | 0.48 – 0.67 |
| Saves/game | 1.72 | 1.62 | 1.5 – 1.7 |
| Shots/game | 3.0 | 2.88 | 2.78 – 3.0 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calster | S26 | Master | 0.86 | 0.57 | 1.64 | 1.07 |
| T. | S13 | Premier | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.62 | 1.14 |
| Basicalllyyy | S23 | Premier | 1.0 | 0.62 | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| Burnset | S25 | Veteran | 0.93 | 0.67 | 1.48 | 1.20 |
| Lucas | S25 | Veteran | 0.86 | 0.48 | 1.58 | 1.20 |
| spite | S26 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.54 | 1.46 | 1.21 |
| DJDancingDuckGIF | S23 | Elite | 1.0 | 0.82 | 1.82 | 1.21 |
| Dsife | S14 | Premier | 1.08 | 0.67 | 1.83 | 1.22 |
| vaillantxxx | S23 | Veteran | 0.9 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 1.26 |
| Snipes | S25 | Master | 1.04 | 0.73 | 1.62 | 1.27 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.