Stemantics

Elite - Raptors - 7-3 (0.700)
82 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 10 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 82/100 Tier dominance: 70th (+0.5 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
20% of games
Shot %
56%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 294.4 2944
9th
Goals 0.9 9
74th
Assists 0.3 3
5th
Saves 0.8 8
3rd
Shots 1.6 16
5th
Demos 2.0 20
95th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points294.4 #782 / 1215 #117 / 179
Goals0.9 #248 / 1215 #34 / 179
Assists0.3 #855 / 1215 #123 / 179
Saves0.8 #875 / 1215 #124 / 179
Demos2.0 #38 / 1215 #5 / 179

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (10 → ~18 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (161 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 2944 5299 5513 5513 5435 – 5591
Goals 9 16 16 16 12 – 20
Assists 3 5 6 7 4 – 9
Saves 8 14 16 16 12 – 21
Shots 16 29 32 34 26 – 38
Demos 20 36 33 34 27 – 38
MVPs 2 4 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 6 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 376.9
Avg boost 51.1
Boost stolen / game 807.7
% time at 0 boost 13.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1505.8
% supersonic 12.2%
% time high in air 3.6%
Avg distance to ball 3209.4
% time attacking third 23.6%
Demos / game 1.7
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 55.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Elite4 1.00.751.25 334
S22Veteran60 1.10.671.28 343
S23Veteran56 0.980.641.39 350
S24Elite1 0.00.01.0 359
S25Elite45 0.730.441.09 364
S26Elite6 0.830.331.17 377

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~59 OVR High confidence — inferred from 1785 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 82.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)64792605-2525 51% 366
RSC (official)4425-15 62% 411
Non-RSC ranked 3v31785654-683 49% 319
Non-RSC other46501926-1827 51% 383

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.1 1.0 0.98 – 1.07
Assists/game0.67 0.64 0.6 – 0.66
Saves/game1.28 1.34 1.21 – 1.39
Shots/game3.08 3.08 2.85 – 3.19

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Stemantics S23Veteran 0.980.641.39 0.76
Irishhhh S25Rival 1.00.651.18 0.85
ShoddyWolfman S24Rival 1.060.731.27 0.90
Jarrod81535 S24Challenger 1.020.61.34 0.91
Chicken S23Rival 1.070.661.15 0.96
Galvarino S20Rival 0.930.641.21 0.99
ryanawesome_ S17Veteran 1.120.881.38 1.09
DeathFletch S25Elite 0.980.51.31 1.14
Lonzo Ball S22Premier 0.980.661.45 1.14
Tyyphoon454 S26Rival 0.880.561.25 1.17

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.