Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 350.37 | 10511 |
|
| Goals | 0.83 | 25 |
|
| Assists | 0.37 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 1.37 | 41 |
|
| Shots | 2.5 | 75 |
|
| Demos | 0.93 | 28 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 350.37 | #422 / 1215 | #54 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.83 | #331 / 1215 | #48 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.37 | #783 / 1215 | #112 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.37 | #400 / 1215 | #52 / 166 |
| Demos | 0.93 | #474 / 1215 | #63 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (30 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (99 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10511 | 17518 | 17480 | 17480 | 17348 – 17612 |
| Goals | 25 | 42 | 41 | 41 | 35 – 48 |
| Assists | 11 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 15 – 24 |
| Saves | 41 | 68 | 68 | 69 | 60 – 76 |
| Shots | 75 | 125 | 125 | 123 | 114 – 136 |
| Demos | 28 | 47 | 47 | 46 | 40 – 54 |
| MVPs | 8 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 – 16 |
From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 391.4 |
| Avg boost | 55.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 459.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1463.5 |
| % supersonic | 12.4% |
| % time high in air | 5.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2987.7 |
| % time attacking third | 17.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.5 |
| Shooting % | 36.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 11 | 0.36 | 0.46 | 1.27 | 398 |
| S21 | Rival | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 341 |
| S22 | Rival | 6 | 0.67 | 0.5 | 0.67 | 395 |
| S23 | Rival | 40 | 0.85 | 0.7 | 1.05 | 391 |
| S24 | Rival | 48 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 1.88 | 349 |
| S26 | Challenger | 26 | 0.81 | 0.35 | 1.38 | 391 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.81 | 0.78 | 0.75 – 0.88 |
| Assists/game | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.33 – 0.4 |
| Saves/game | 1.39 | 1.4 | 1.26 – 1.5 |
| Shots/game | 2.42 | 2.33 | 2.28 – 2.5 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZippytheGnome | S22 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.5 | 1.01 |
| Cognitixn | S24 | Veteran | 0.71 | 0.34 | 1.42 | 1.02 |
| bubles | S26 | Challenger | 0.78 | 0.39 | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| SquattyPotty737 | S25 | Challenger | 0.92 | 0.25 | 1.58 | 1.05 |
| Falcon D3w | S22 | Veteran | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.10 |
| mogulmaniac5480 | S23 | Rival | 0.94 | 0.4 | 1.25 | 1.11 |
| JimJams | S26 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.11 |
| newk . . . | S25 | Elite | 0.71 | 0.29 | 1.48 | 1.11 |
| SlimmySlimReaper | S23 | Rival | 0.8 | 0.39 | 1.55 | 1.12 |
| Onsi_ | S26 | Rival | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 1.13 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.