Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 300.0 | 9300 |
|
| Goals | 0.81 | 25 |
|
| Assists | 0.35 | 11 |
|
| Saves | 1.03 | 32 |
|
| Shots | 2.32 | 72 |
|
| Demos | 0.77 | 24 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 300.0 | #756 / 1215 | #110 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.81 | #385 / 1215 | #57 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.35 | #797 / 1215 | #110 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.03 | #734 / 1215 | #114 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.77 | #615 / 1215 | #92 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (31 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (152 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9300 | 16500 | 16703 | 16703 | 16563 – 16843 |
| Goals | 25 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 37 – 51 |
| Assists | 11 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 15 – 25 |
| Saves | 32 | 57 | 58 | 58 | 50 – 67 |
| Shots | 72 | 128 | 129 | 131 | 116 – 141 |
| Demos | 24 | 43 | 44 | 43 | 37 – 51 |
| MVPs | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 – 6 |
From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 388.2 |
| Avg boost | 57.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 636.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 6.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1545.7 |
| % supersonic | 15.3% |
| % time high in air | 5.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3183.5 |
| % time attacking third | 21.4% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 32.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Prospect | 11 | 0.82 | 0.27 | 2.0 | 360 |
| S23 | Challenger | 60 | 0.82 | 0.77 | 0.98 | 377 |
| S24 | Rival | 50 | 0.72 | 0.44 | 1.5 | 403 |
| S25 | Rival | 31 | 0.68 | 0.64 | 1.23 | 409 |
| S26 | Rival | 23 | 0.91 | 0.35 | 0.91 | 389 |
| Source | Games | Record | Win % | Score/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifetime (all) | 41 | 20-16 | 56% | 278 |
| Non-RSC other | 41 | 20-16 | 56% | 278 |
From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.91 | 0.88 | 0.81 – 0.95 |
| Assists/game | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.38 – 0.44 |
| Saves/game | 0.91 | 1.04 | 0.98 – 1.12 |
| Shots/game | 2.52 | 2.49 | 2.33 – 2.69 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KevvohG | S13 | Contender | 0.94 | 0.44 | 1.0 | 0.84 |
| Mysty | S26 | Challenger | 0.87 | 0.39 | 1.0 | 0.89 |
| Enterprise15 | S19 | Amateur | 1.06 | 0.4 | 1.04 | 0.92 |
| AlexK | S18 | Elite | 1.0 | 0.38 | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Treefrog | S25 | Prospect | 0.8 | 0.44 | 0.73 | 1.06 |
| Cobraz RE | S14 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.42 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Phelpsy | S21 | Elite | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Robbie | S22 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.75 | 1.08 |
| Slayerof666 | S24 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.92 | 1.11 |
| jaammaarr | S24 | Rival | 0.92 | 0.38 | 0.85 | 1.13 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.