TheLegendaryChance

Master - Blackbirds - 15-17 (0.469)
92 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 92/100 Tier dominance: 68th (+0.4 SD) Projects as: Master Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
12% of games
Shot %
30%

Per-game production (percentile within Master)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 364.09 11651
59th
Goals 0.81 26
65th
Assists 0.41 13
28th
Saves 1.53 49
64th
Shots 2.72 87
63rd
Demos 1.44 46
67th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Master
Points364.09 #307 / 1213 #32 / 107
Goals0.81 #368 / 1213 #26 / 107
Assists0.41 #707 / 1213 #56 / 107
Saves1.53 #231 / 1213 #28 / 107
Demos1.44 #168 / 1213 #25 / 107

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (187 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11651 19297 19243 19243 19105 – 19381
Goals 26 43 43 43 36 – 49
Assists 13 22 22 22 17 – 27
Saves 49 81 80 80 72 – 89
Shots 87 144 143 144 131 – 155
Demos 46 76 75 80 67 – 84
MVPs 4 7 7 7 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 86 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 473.4
Avg boost 45.8
Boost stolen / game 780.9
% time at 0 boost 15.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1561.2
% supersonic 19.2%
% time high in air 5.8%
Avg distance to ball 2800.6
% time attacking third 23.1%
Demos / game 1.4
Demos taken / game 1.3
Shooting % 29.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Elite19 0.950.581.58 424
S21Elite8 2.50.251.12 423
S22Elite13 0.620.541.31 453
S23Elite58 0.860.591.12 474
S24Master42 0.740.431.74 475
S25Master47 0.70.361.43 483
S26Master32 0.810.411.53 473

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~91 OVR High confidence — inferred from 293 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 92.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)47831988-1904 51% 438
RSC (official)3010-14 42% 402
Non-RSC ranked 3v3293120-115 51% 371
Non-RSC other44601858-1775 51% 442

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.81 0.82 0.73 – 0.88
Assists/game0.41 0.51 0.43 – 0.56
Saves/game1.53 1.46 1.42 – 1.57
Shots/game2.72 2.68 2.55 – 2.85

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
TheLegendaryChance S25Master 0.70.361.43 1.13
Luigi S24Premier 0.750.461.48 1.18
Flame_RL10 S24Veteran 0.920.51.67 1.23
Meloaw S25Elite 1.060.431.57 1.27
Kamikazi S22Premier 0.820.341.57 1.34
Talent? S26Elite 0.940.411.28 1.39
donald. S24Elite 0.830.581.58 1.40
yillow S24Master 0.80.521.62 1.40
4SkillNotFound S25Rival 0.850.461.46 1.41
TheLegendaryChance S22Elite 0.620.541.31 1.47

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.