Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 341.55 | 3757 |
|
| Goals | 1.09 | 12 |
|
| Assists | 0.73 | 8 |
|
| Saves | 1.18 | 13 |
|
| Shots | 2.64 | 29 |
|
| Demos | 0.73 | 8 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 341.55 | #488 / 1215 | #75 / 164 |
| Goals | 1.09 | #97 / 1215 | #16 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.73 | #158 / 1215 | #20 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.18 | #590 / 1215 | #93 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.73 | #658 / 1215 | #100 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (11 → ~20 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (196 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 3757 | 6831 | 6830 | 6830 | 6743 – 6916 |
| Goals | 12 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 16 – 25 |
| Assists | 8 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 10 – 18 |
| Saves | 13 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 19 – 29 |
| Shots | 29 | 53 | 52 | 52 | 45 – 60 |
| Demos | 8 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 11 – 20 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 4 |
From 11 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 320.9 |
| Avg boost | 49.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 438.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 4.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1421.2 |
| % supersonic | 8.0% |
| % time high in air | 3.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3046.7 |
| % time attacking third | 19.4% |
| Demos / game | 0.7 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 42.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 8 | 0.88 | 0.62 | 0.5 | 295 |
| S21 | Rival | 4 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 308 |
| S22 | Rival | 15 | 1.13 | 0.53 | 1.4 | 308 |
| S23 | Rival | 57 | 0.74 | 0.65 | 1.6 | 302 |
| S24 | Rival | 56 | 0.89 | 0.52 | 1.3 | 313 |
| S25 | Rival | 60 | 0.82 | 0.43 | 0.88 | 304 |
| S26 | Rival | 11 | 1.09 | 0.73 | 1.18 | 321 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.09 | 1.0 | 0.9 – 1.12 |
| Assists/game | 0.73 | 0.68 | 0.63 – 0.74 |
| Saves/game | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.12 – 1.28 |
| Shots/game | 2.64 | 2.66 | 2.56 – 2.91 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Booger Sugar | S23 | Prospect | 0.93 | 0.72 | 1.06 | 0.75 |
| LilBoneSamaTTV | S23 | Challenger | 1.03 | 0.65 | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| Ole.Mr.Bison. | S26 | Prospect | 1.13 | 0.6 | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| StoveMessiah | S24 | Challenger | 0.98 | 0.72 | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| JDM.vibe | S20 | Challenger | 1.14 | 0.68 | 1.27 | 1.01 |
| ShinxX403 | S24 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.85 | 1.36 | 1.11 |
| Trios | S25 | Contender | 0.98 | 0.69 | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| MoonKnight2 | S22 | Amateur | 1.15 | 0.59 | 1.28 | 1.16 |
| deneyed | S17 | Contender | 1.19 | 0.62 | 1.06 | 1.16 |
| BaldManStreamer | S21 | Veteran | 1.0 | 0.79 | 1.32 | 1.17 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.