Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 367.6 | 5514 |
|
| Goals | 1.13 | 17 |
|
| Assists | 0.6 | 9 |
|
| Saves | 1.07 | 16 |
|
| Shots | 2.8 | 42 |
|
| Demos | 0.73 | 11 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 367.6 | #288 / 1213 | #31 / 161 |
| Goals | 1.13 | #77 / 1213 | #10 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.6 | #347 / 1213 | #53 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.07 | #696 / 1213 | #89 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.73 | #649 / 1213 | #82 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (15 → ~25 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (102 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5514 | 9190 | 9058 | 9058 | 8967 – 9149 |
| Goals | 17 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 22 – 32 |
| Assists | 9 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 11 – 18 |
| Saves | 16 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 22 – 32 |
| Shots | 42 | 70 | 69 | 66 | 61 – 76 |
| Demos | 11 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 15 – 23 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 – 9 |
From 15 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 306.7 |
| Avg boost | 51.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 338.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1439.2 |
| % supersonic | 6.7% |
| % time high in air | 3.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3159.7 |
| % time attacking third | 20.2% |
| Demos / game | 0.7 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 39.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 315 |
| S23 | Challenger | 40 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.98 | 313 |
| S24 | Challenger | 30 | 0.57 | 0.6 | 1.03 | 323 |
| S25 | Prospect | 32 | 0.62 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 303 |
| S26 | Prospect | 15 | 1.13 | 0.6 | 1.07 | 307 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.13 | 1.05 | 0.96 – 1.16 |
| Assists/game | 0.6 | 0.59 | 0.54 – 0.66 |
| Saves/game | 1.07 | 1.08 | 0.96 – 1.23 |
| Shots/game | 2.8 | 2.83 | 2.66 – 2.92 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vortex3524 | S26 | Challenger | 1.17 | 0.5 | 1.21 | 0.90 |
| bestpickle | S26 | Contender | 1.04 | 0.58 | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| The_Killerwon | S26 | Rival | 1.09 | 0.73 | 1.18 | 0.97 |
| lostperson | S23 | Prospect | 0.98 | 0.54 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| nizz | S24 | Veteran | 1.0 | 0.55 | 0.96 | 1.01 |
| LostZealous | S23 | Challenger | 0.93 | 0.55 | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| El Booger Sugar | S23 | Prospect | 0.93 | 0.72 | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| Bieles | S25 | Prospect | 1.13 | 0.52 | 0.85 | 1.08 |
| MoonKnight2 | S22 | Amateur | 1.15 | 0.59 | 1.28 | 1.13 |
| Riddle | S14 | Rival | 1.33 | 0.5 | 1.08 | 1.13 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.