TrexReaper

Prospect - Card Dealers - 11-17 (0.393)
16 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 16/100 Tier dominance: 1st (-1.9 SD) Projects as: Contender ↓ Below tier level Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
7% of games
Shot %
18%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 304.43 8524
29th
Goals 0.39 11
11th
Assists 0.36 10
17th
Saves 1.5 42
80th
Shots 2.25 63
41st
Demos 0.43 12
10th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points304.43 #730 / 1215 #95 / 161
Goals0.39 #875 / 1215 #119 / 161
Assists0.36 #793 / 1215 #111 / 161
Saves1.5 #240 / 1215 #24 / 161
Demos0.43 #863 / 1215 #119 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (28 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 8524 14308 14419 14297 – 14540
Goals 11 18 20 15 – 25
Assists 10 17 18 13 – 22
Saves 42 70 69 61 – 78
Shots 63 106 106 96 – 117
Demos 12 20 22 17 – 27
MVPs 2 3 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 5 /100

From 25 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 287.0
Avg boost 56.4
Boost stolen / game 373.3
% time at 0 boost 5.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1417.5
% supersonic 8.6%
% time high in air 3.7%
Avg distance to ball 3197.0
% time attacking third 17.9%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 19.9%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~47 OVR High confidence — inferred from 563 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 16.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)29891140-1216 48% 327
RSC (official)94-3 57% 265
Non-RSC ranked 3v3563216-232 48% 300
Non-RSC other2417920-981 48% 333

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.44 0.5 0.42 – 0.58
Assists/game0.4 0.39 0.35 – 0.48
Saves/game1.6 1.53 1.47 – 1.62
Shots/game2.28 2.0 1.9 – 2.24

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
VickyViksta S22Challenger 0.520.391.7 0.79
Rob S23Prospect 0.430.481.48 0.92
th3lofty S21Amateur 0.60.41.53 0.92
beNgr33dy S17Contender 0.380.381.62 1.01
MrKankleMeat S25Prospect 0.610.441.5 1.03
TheRogersEffect S13Elite 0.420.331.75 1.04
jizko S26Challenger 0.50.541.42 1.10
TechFour S23Rival 0.50.51.63 1.11
Ole.Mr.Bison. S25Prospect 0.620.51.5 1.11
ZeroPop11 S24Veteran 0.580.451.5 1.13

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.