Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 403.73 | 13323 |
|
| Goals | 1.0 | 33 |
|
| Assists | 0.64 | 21 |
|
| Saves | 1.42 | 47 |
|
| Shots | 2.88 | 95 |
|
| Demos | 0.88 | 29 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 403.73 | #113 / 1215 | #15 / 161 |
| Goals | 1.0 | #132 / 1215 | #19 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.64 | #287 / 1215 | #37 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.42 | #337 / 1215 | #34 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.88 | #530 / 1215 | #68 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (33 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (139 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 13323 | 22205 | 21891 | 21891 | 21744 – 22038 |
| Goals | 33 | 55 | 54 | 52 | 47 – 61 |
| Assists | 21 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 29 – 40 |
| Saves | 47 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 69 – 86 |
| Shots | 95 | 158 | 156 | 154 | 144 – 169 |
| Demos | 29 | 48 | 49 | 48 | 42 – 56 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 9 |
From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 303.6 |
| Avg boost | 52.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 448.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1419.3 |
| % supersonic | 9.2% |
| % time high in air | 4.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2880.2 |
| % time attacking third | 21.7% |
| Demos / game | 1.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 37.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 12 | 0.83 | 0.5 | 1.42 | 304 |
| S21 | Rival | 20 | 0.45 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 327 |
| S23 | Rival | 16 | 0.5 | 0.31 | 0.88 | 303 |
| S24 | Challenger | 55 | 0.58 | 0.55 | 1.42 | 300 |
| S25 | Challenger | 36 | 0.47 | 0.5 | 1.61 | 290 |
| S26 | Prospect | 29 | 1.0 | 0.66 | 1.45 | 304 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.0 | 0.93 | 0.89 – 1.04 |
| Assists/game | 0.66 | 0.6 | 0.57 – 0.67 |
| Saves/game | 1.45 | 1.33 | 1.25 – 1.44 |
| Shots/game | 2.83 | 2.73 | 2.64 – 2.92 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonini08 | S25 | Contender | 1.12 | 0.57 | 1.36 | 0.84 |
| mel | S26 | Prospect | 1.12 | 0.73 | 1.54 | 1.04 |
| R4p | S26 | Contender | 1.0 | 0.62 | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| xTiTax_ | S25 | Prospect | 0.9 | 0.64 | 1.3 | 1.07 |
| EyeSucka | S23 | Rival | 1.05 | 0.6 | 1.33 | 1.10 |
| Canadian Gamer | S22 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.12 |
| Wrychew | S17 | Amateur | 1.22 | 0.66 | 1.27 | 1.13 |
| Jay_Kay99 | S22 | Veteran | 0.98 | 0.59 | 1.36 | 1.13 |
| FlyDRCar | S23 | Prospect | 0.91 | 0.63 | 1.46 | 1.13 |
| ShoddyWolfman | S21 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 1.14 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.