Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 272.0 | 8160 |
|
| Goals | 0.63 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.6 | 18 |
|
| Saves | 0.67 | 20 |
|
| Shots | 2.5 | 75 |
|
| Demos | 0.7 | 21 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Amateur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 272.0 | #849 / 1215 | #31 / 61 |
| Goals | 0.63 | #655 / 1215 | #29 / 61 |
| Assists | 0.6 | #344 / 1215 | #9 / 61 |
| Saves | 0.67 | #913 / 1215 | #35 / 61 |
| Demos | 0.7 | #674 / 1215 | #22 / 61 |
69% of the season is played (30 → ~43 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (13 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8160 | 11696 | 11764 | 11764 | 11675 – 11853 |
| Goals | 19 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 23 – 32 |
| Assists | 18 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 21 – 29 |
| Saves | 20 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 25 – 34 |
| Shots | 75 | 108 | 106 | 104 | 98 – 115 |
| Demos | 21 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 26 – 35 |
| MVPs | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 – 6 |
From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 300.7 |
| Avg boost | 50.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 375.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1406.5 |
| % supersonic | 8.7% |
| % time high in air | 1.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3214.7 |
| % time attacking third | 18.9% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 25.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Amateur | 13 | 0.77 | 0.69 | 1.15 | 258 |
| S26 | Amateur | 26 | 0.73 | 0.58 | 0.65 | 301 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.73 | 0.76 | 0.65 – 0.84 |
| Assists/game | 0.58 | 0.6 | 0.5 – 0.65 |
| Saves/game | 0.65 | 0.88 | 0.79 – 0.88 |
| Shots/game | 2.69 | 2.48 | 2.31 – 2.66 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ShiftDrink | S21 | Challenger | 0.62 | 0.5 | 0.88 | 0.98 |
| Tankersrul | S21 | Challenger | 0.88 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| Canadian "Washed Queen" Things | S13 | Elite | 0.75 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Mortal Frenzy | S26 | Contender | 0.83 | 0.5 | 0.92 | 1.21 |
| El_Macho | S23 | Challenger | 0.64 | 0.36 | 0.71 | 1.25 |
| Bigwigglystylezz | S23 | Amateur | 0.82 | 0.66 | 0.86 | 1.27 |
| RL Camaro | S25 | Amateur | 0.88 | 0.52 | 0.82 | 1.27 |
| The_Killerwon | S25 | Rival | 0.82 | 0.43 | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| Godless | S23 | Rival | 0.76 | 0.6 | 0.79 | 1.29 |
| Droogin01 | S21 | Contender | 0.83 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 1.29 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.