Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 382.29 | 10704 |
|
| Goals | 1.18 | 33 |
|
| Assists | 0.54 | 15 |
|
| Saves | 1.18 | 33 |
|
| Shots | 2.79 | 78 |
|
| Demos | 0.57 | 16 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 382.29 | #207 / 1215 | #28 / 166 |
| Goals | 1.18 | #51 / 1215 | #7 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.54 | #469 / 1215 | #64 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.18 | #595 / 1215 | #87 / 166 |
| Demos | 0.57 | #770 / 1215 | #103 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (28 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (115 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10704 | 17967 | 17794 | 17794 | 17661 – 17928 |
| Goals | 33 | 55 | 54 | 53 | 46 – 61 |
| Assists | 15 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 20 – 30 |
| Saves | 33 | 55 | 56 | 56 | 48 – 63 |
| Shots | 78 | 131 | 130 | 129 | 118 – 141 |
| Demos | 16 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 23 – 34 |
| MVPs | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 – 11 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 313.2 |
| Avg boost | 46.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 381.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1406.9 |
| % supersonic | 5.9% |
| % time high in air | 4.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3054.9 |
| % time attacking third | 19.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 40.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Challenger | 13 | 0.69 | 0.15 | 1.38 | 267 |
| S23 | Rival | 51 | 0.9 | 0.49 | 1.47 | 258 |
| S24 | Rival | 51 | 0.8 | 0.29 | 1.18 | 290 |
| S26 | Challenger | 24 | 1.17 | 0.5 | 1.21 | 313 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.17 | 1.1 | 1.0 – 1.15 |
| Assists/game | 0.5 | 0.52 | 0.46 – 0.54 |
| Saves/game | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.08 – 1.33 |
| Shots/game | 2.92 | 2.91 | 2.8 – 3.12 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MoonKnight2 | S22 | Amateur | 1.15 | 0.59 | 1.28 | 0.76 |
| Ole.Mr.Bison. | S26 | Prospect | 1.13 | 0.6 | 1.07 | 0.90 |
| mushxie | S25 | Amateur | 1.34 | 0.45 | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| Grim | S24 | Rival | 1.22 | 0.59 | 1.34 | 1.08 |
| DrizzyJ | S25 | Challenger | 1.15 | 0.46 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| nizz | S24 | Veteran | 1.0 | 0.55 | 0.96 | 1.17 |
| Riddle | S14 | Rival | 1.33 | 0.5 | 1.08 | 1.18 |
| lostperson | S23 | Prospect | 0.98 | 0.54 | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| bestpickle | S26 | Contender | 1.04 | 0.58 | 0.92 | 1.24 |
| Urgirlismysideho | S17 | Amateur | 1.12 | 0.66 | 1.21 | 1.25 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.