Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 260.31 | 4165 |
|
| Goals | 0.69 | 11 |
|
| Assists | 0.31 | 5 |
|
| Saves | 0.62 | 10 |
|
| Shots | 2.19 | 35 |
|
| Demos | 1.38 | 22 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 260.31 | #878 / 1215 | #127 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.69 | #579 / 1215 | #80 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.31 | #848 / 1215 | #116 / 166 |
| Saves | 0.62 | #924 / 1215 | #130 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.38 | #184 / 1215 | #22 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (16 → ~27 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (49 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 4165 | 7028 | 7325 | 7325 | 7238 – 7412 |
| Goals | 11 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 14 – 23 |
| Assists | 5 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 6 – 12 |
| Saves | 10 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 15 – 24 |
| Shots | 35 | 59 | 60 | 59 | 52 – 68 |
| Demos | 22 | 37 | 36 | 37 | 30 – 41 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 4 |
From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 417.4 |
| Avg boost | 49.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 453.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 15.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1546.2 |
| % supersonic | 14.5% |
| % time high in air | 3.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3239.5 |
| % time attacking third | 19.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 32.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Challenger | 49 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 1.16 | 413 |
| S26 | Challenger | 12 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.75 | 417 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.71 – 0.81 |
| Assists/game | 0.33 | 0.4 | 0.34 – 0.46 |
| Saves/game | 0.75 | 0.95 | 0.82 – 1.06 |
| Shots/game | 2.33 | 2.23 | 2.12 – 2.5 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| archhie. | S20 | Veteran | 0.82 | 0.46 | 0.64 | 0.91 |
| Rcmblocks | S19 | Prospect | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.83 | 1.07 |
| Treefrog | S25 | Prospect | 0.8 | 0.44 | 0.73 | 1.07 |
| Mysty | S26 | Challenger | 0.87 | 0.39 | 1.0 | 1.16 |
| Cr1m5on_RL | S23 | Challenger | 0.83 | 0.34 | 1.0 | 1.19 |
| Bricked Up Barry | S22 | Rival | 0.72 | 0.33 | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Nahzey | S21 | Veteran | 0.76 | 0.53 | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| Jacob. | S23 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.35 | 1.08 | 1.26 |
| Phelpsy | S17 | Master | 0.91 | 0.27 | 0.91 | 1.28 |
| Robbie | S22 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.38 | 0.75 | 1.28 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.