Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 295.5 | 9456 |
|
| Goals | 0.75 | 24 |
|
| Assists | 0.38 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 0.97 | 31 |
|
| Shots | 2.56 | 82 |
|
| Demos | 0.66 | 21 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 295.5 | #777 / 1215 | #99 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.75 | #455 / 1215 | #64 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.38 | #761 / 1215 | #103 / 161 |
| Saves | 0.97 | #800 / 1215 | #105 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.66 | #717 / 1215 | #94 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (131 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9456 | 15662 | 15809 | 15809 | 15683 – 15935 |
| Goals | 24 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 33 – 46 |
| Assists | 12 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 16 – 25 |
| Saves | 31 | 51 | 52 | 50 | 45 – 60 |
| Shots | 82 | 136 | 135 | 136 | 124 – 147 |
| Demos | 21 | 35 | 36 | 34 | 30 – 42 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 9 |
From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 323.4 |
| Avg boost | 55.7 |
| Boost stolen / game | 498.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 5.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1388.0 |
| % supersonic | 6.1% |
| % time high in air | 2.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3104.6 |
| % time attacking third | 21.9% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 34.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Challenger | 47 | 0.83 | 0.38 | 0.74 | 307 |
| S24 | Challenger | 33 | 0.76 | 0.36 | 0.76 | 319 |
| S25 | Prospect | 51 | 0.98 | 0.41 | 0.86 | 336 |
| S26 | Prospect | 28 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 1.0 | 323 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.77 | 0.8 | 0.71 – 0.88 |
| Assists/game | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.57 – 0.67 |
| Saves/game | 0.84 | 0.89 | 0.82 – 1.0 |
| Shots/game | 2.39 | 2.4 | 2.3 – 2.53 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachs Vibes | S19 | Challenger | 0.73 | 0.55 | 0.82 | 0.69 |
| bernatra | S14 | Amateur | 0.76 | 0.61 | 0.94 | 0.78 |
| Twixxle_ | S24 | Challenger | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.84 | 0.95 |
| Canadian Things | S26 | Veteran | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.84 | 0.98 |
| Pure_Pusher | S24 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.57 | 0.91 | 1.08 |
| YRA | S20 | Rival | 0.8 | 0.67 | 1.13 | 1.09 |
| TechFour | S17 | Contender | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.11 |
| renightly | S25 | Rival | 0.69 | 0.54 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| thatBUGZBUNNY | S18 | Prospect | 0.75 | 0.62 | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| PoupSoup | S22 | Rival | 0.92 | 0.58 | 1.17 | 1.14 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.