cosmo6430

Veteran - Supernova - 17-12 (0.586)
70 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 29 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 70/100 Tier dominance: 83rd (+0.9 SD) Projects as: Veteran Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
10
34% of games
Shot %
25%

Per-game production (percentile within Veteran)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 392.38 11379
84th
Goals 0.72 21
40th
Assists 0.62 18
60th
Saves 1.66 48
79th
Shots 2.9 84
69th
Demos 1.1 32
59th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Veteran
Points392.38 #154 / 1213 #21 / 169
Goals0.72 #506 / 1213 #80 / 169
Assists0.62 #315 / 1213 #52 / 169
Saves1.66 #143 / 1213 #28 / 169
Demos1.1 #326 / 1213 #54 / 169

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (29 → ~52 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (76 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11379 20404 20205 20205 20052 – 20358
Goals 21 38 38 38 31 – 45
Assists 18 32 32 31 26 – 38
Saves 48 86 85 85 75 – 95
Shots 84 151 149 147 136 – 162
Demos 32 57 57 57 49 – 66
MVPs 10 18 17 17 13 – 21

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 92 /100

From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 471.6
Avg boost 47.5
Boost stolen / game 524.7
% time at 0 boost 12.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1648.2
% supersonic 21.7%
% time high in air 5.6%
Avg distance to ball 2835.5
% time attacking third 21.7%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 36.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Veteran23 0.350.31.39 450
S25Rival53 0.940.511.49 444
S26Veteran29 0.720.621.66 463

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.72 0.77 0.68 – 0.9
Assists/game0.62 0.59 0.52 – 0.64
Saves/game1.66 1.63 1.5 – 1.81
Shots/game2.9 2.83 2.67 – 3.0

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
C-Loupe S25Master 0.730.561.67 0.55
donald. S24Elite 0.830.581.58 0.97
Jimbo S26Master 0.780.591.5 0.98
Fused Gavin S25Elite 0.770.641.81 1.04
FIN0oo S21Master 0.80.561.48 1.12
Seth S23Elite 0.650.51.5 1.12
Kyurmex. S22Master 0.830.721.63 1.13
CantaloupeL0VER S23Elite 0.930.71.73 1.17
Jolt S25Elite 0.810.521.62 1.19
Jolt S26Elite 0.780.531.44 1.20

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.