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Rival - Kitsune - 20-15 (0.571)
49 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 35 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 49/100 Tier dominance: 33rd (-0.5 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
17% of games
Shot %
30%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 346.37 12123
48th
Goals 0.71 25
45th
Assists 0.57 20
56th
Saves 1.63 57
83rd
Shots 2.37 83
36th
Demos 0.83 29
36th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points346.37 #451 / 1215 #70 / 164
Goals0.71 #540 / 1215 #74 / 164
Assists0.57 #401 / 1215 #57 / 164
Saves1.63 #153 / 1215 #23 / 164
Demos0.83 #575 / 1215 #86 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (35 → ~62 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12123 21475 21449 21291 – 21607
Goals 25 44 44 37 – 52
Assists 20 35 35 29 – 42
Saves 57 101 100 89 – 110
Shots 83 147 148 134 – 161
Demos 29 51 52 45 – 60
MVPs 6 11 11 7 – 14

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 34 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 344.3
Avg boost 48.8
Boost stolen / game 414.8
% time at 0 boost 9.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1505.6
% supersonic 12.5%
% time high in air 4.9%
Avg distance to ball 3296.8
% time attacking third 18.0%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 29.6%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)12865-49 57% 358
Non-RSC ranked 3v342-0 100% 247
Non-RSC other12463-49 56% 362

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.71 0.68 0.59 – 0.76
Assists/game0.58 0.58 0.52 – 0.64
Saves/game1.71 1.64 1.58 – 1.73
Shots/game2.29 2.32 2.24 – 2.42

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Crazics S24Elite 0.680.571.59 0.78
Absolutely TOR S22Veteran 0.650.651.72 0.92
Dooober S23Elite 0.620.531.67 0.95
Wheelchair {LFLegs} S26Challenger 0.80.61.6 0.96
steel.reserve S21Veteran 0.670.671.58 1.02
Beans S24Elite 0.890.621.7 1.03
Squatch70 S22Challenger 0.560.481.63 1.03
Buck S20Master 0.50.581.75 1.05
AcX S23Master 0.760.641.56 1.06
6 lbs of Yeet S24Elite 0.720.521.59 1.08

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.