dvorl.ttv

Elite - Despair - 16-16 (0.500)
78 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 78/100 Tier dominance: 37th (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
6% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 318.84 10203
19th
Goals 0.69 22
32nd
Assists 0.72 23
76th
Saves 0.78 25
2nd
Shots 2.38 76
31st
Demos 1.12 36
64th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points318.84 #653 / 1215 #105 / 179
Goals0.69 #579 / 1215 #87 / 179
Assists0.72 #169 / 1215 #31 / 179
Saves0.78 #885 / 1215 #126 / 179
Demos1.12 #313 / 1215 #47 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (32 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (148 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10203 18174 18353 18353 18205 – 18500
Goals 22 39 40 39 33 – 46
Assists 23 41 40 40 34 – 47
Saves 25 45 48 48 40 – 55
Shots 76 135 136 137 124 – 149
Demos 36 64 64 62 55 – 72
MVPs 2 4 4 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 48 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 356.3
Avg boost 49.0
Boost stolen / game 489.3
% time at 0 boost 9.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1550.3
% supersonic 15.9%
% time high in air 5.0%
Avg distance to ball 3150.2
% time attacking third 20.1%
Demos / game 1.3
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 34.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Elite7 0.860.290.71 364
S21Elite8 0.880.251.75 362
S22Elite16 1.060.621.62 368
S23Elite38 0.470.371.26 348
S24Elite38 0.530.61.16 364
S25Elite48 0.620.541.35 355
S26Elite28 0.680.710.75 356

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.68 0.64 0.59 – 0.72
Assists/game0.71 0.64 0.6 – 0.69
Saves/game0.75 1.02 0.93 – 1.07
Shots/game2.32 2.32 2.12 – 2.5

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Squeeezi S25Challenger 0.640.660.96 1.00
Sugar_Biscuit20 S20Prospect 0.710.60.93 1.19
BlitzzyG S22Veteran 0.610.611.09 1.25
Rapidz (Goofy and Silly) S24Master 0.720.691.03 1.30
Ninji <3 S22Challenger 0.60.731.07 1.36
Damokuresu S20Veteran 0.750.581.08 1.41
PoiisonDeath S22Veteran 0.790.671.04 1.43
archhie. S17Veteran 0.670.580.92 1.46
taLz. S24Master 0.620.620.85 1.48
Stingray S26Elite 0.690.620.81 1.49

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.