elyaeri

Challenger - Gold Hoarders - 18-6 (0.750)
45 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 24 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 45/100 Tier dominance: 97th (+2.0 SD) Projects as: Rival ↑ Overskilled for Challenger Role: Star all-rounder
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
12
50% of games
Shot %
40%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 448.79 10771
98th
Goals 1.12 27
87th
Assists 0.71 17
83rd
Saves 2.04 49
98th
Shots 2.83 68
73rd
Demos 0.79 19
39th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points448.79 #19 / 1213 #2 / 166
Goals1.12 #80 / 1213 #14 / 166
Assists0.71 #192 / 1213 #23 / 166
Saves2.04 #24 / 1213 #3 / 166
Demos0.79 #596 / 1213 #80 / 166

Season projection

Medium confidence

53% of the season is played (24 → ~45 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 10771 20196 19631 19476 – 19787
Goals 27 51 49 41 – 56
Assists 17 32 31 25 – 37
Saves 49 92 88 78 – 98
Shots 68 128 126 113 – 138
Demos 19 36 37 30 – 43
MVPs 12 22 21 16 – 26

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 94 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 383.4
Avg boost 52.1
Boost stolen / game 496.1
% time at 0 boost 7.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1516.3
% supersonic 14.4%
% time high in air 3.5%
Avg distance to ball 2850.0
% time attacking third 20.6%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 41.5%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)88-0 100% 531
Non-RSC other88-0 100% 531

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.05 0.96 0.88 – 1.0
Assists/game0.6 0.62 0.57 – 0.68
Saves/game2.0 1.82 1.74 – 1.88
Shots/game2.65 2.7 2.54 – 2.9

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
wntr. S24Elite 1.030.721.83 1.14
Tempest S21Master 1.090.641.82 1.15
Headshotn S24Veteran 0.90.621.79 1.23
LEBRON JAMES S26Veteran 1.120.541.62 1.25
mew_jr S23Elite 0.780.611.82 1.27
lovegreyhounds S23Veteran 0.90.631.79 1.27
DJDancingDuckGIF S26Master 1.00.461.75 1.28
Joe S22Elite 1.00.432.0 1.30
Choco S26Veteran 0.890.751.82 1.30
magician snack time S23Elite 1.00.481.61 1.32

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.