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Prospect - Diamondback - 14-19 (0.424)
22 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 33 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 22/100 Tier dominance: 44th (-0.2 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
12% of games
Shot %
27%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 340.58 11239
56th
Goals 0.73 24
46th
Assists 0.61 20
65th
Saves 1.09 36
35th
Shots 2.67 88
66th
Demos 0.79 26
41st

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points340.58 #498 / 1215 #58 / 161
Goals0.73 #513 / 1215 #71 / 161
Assists0.61 #338 / 1215 #44 / 161
Saves1.09 #691 / 1215 #85 / 161
Demos0.79 #605 / 1215 #79 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (33 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 11239 18732 18689 18552 – 18826
Goals 24 40 40 34 – 46
Assists 20 33 33 27 – 39
Saves 36 60 61 53 – 68
Shots 88 147 145 133 – 158
Demos 26 43 44 37 – 51
MVPs 4 7 7 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 40 /100

From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 375.9
Avg boost 50.0
Boost stolen / game 452.9
% time at 0 boost 10.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1497.3
% supersonic 12.7%
% time high in air 5.3%
Avg distance to ball 2772.0
% time attacking third 19.6%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 28.3%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.76 0.81 0.79 – 0.87
Assists/game0.62 0.6 0.54 – 0.62
Saves/game1.17 1.21 1.06 – 1.25
Shots/game2.72 2.67 2.6 – 2.8

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
GamerNamedLouis S26Challenger 0.860.661.14 0.70
CN Tyson S23Challenger 0.850.621.0 0.71
Dino incarnate S24Prospect 0.850.541.17 0.72
xxDaddysHerexx S25Challenger 0.80.611.07 0.78
Mysty S22Rival 0.810.621.06 0.80
Oddtrip S24Elite 0.80.691.05 0.81
Taiyo S24Elite 0.870.531.22 0.83
BillyGatez S26Elite 0.720.611.17 0.83
Dirt D Dan S22Veteran 0.710.561.24 0.86
KING. S23Elite 0.730.621.29 0.90

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.