BillyGatez

Elite - Embezzlers - 5-13 (0.278)
77 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 18 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 77/100 Tier dominance: 29th (-0.6 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
6% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 333.89 6010
29th
Goals 0.72 13
40th
Assists 0.61 11
57th
Saves 1.17 21
24th
Shots 2.5 45
41st
Demos 1.06 19
58th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points333.89 #551 / 1215 #92 / 179
Goals0.72 #521 / 1215 #76 / 179
Assists0.61 #318 / 1215 #54 / 179
Saves1.17 #609 / 1215 #97 / 179
Demos1.06 #369 / 1215 #54 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (18 → ~32 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (60 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6010 10684 10774 10774 10664 – 10883
Goals 13 23 23 24 18 – 28
Assists 11 20 19 20 15 – 24
Saves 21 37 38 39 32 – 45
Shots 45 80 80 84 71 – 90
Demos 19 34 34 35 28 – 40
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 25 /100

From 18 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 358.7
Avg boost 45.5
Boost stolen / game 404.0
% time at 0 boost 13.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1503.5
% supersonic 11.4%
% time high in air 5.4%
Avg distance to ball 2916.7
% time attacking third 19.4%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 1.4
Shooting % 28.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Veteran60 0.930.681.48 397
S26Elite18 0.720.611.17 359

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~75 OVR High confidence — inferred from 843 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 77.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)1614671-591 53% 393
RSC (official)10-1 0% 509
Non-RSC ranked 3v3843329-312 51% 345
Non-RSC other770342-278 55% 446

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.72 0.77 0.71 – 0.82
Assists/game0.61 0.59 0.56 – 0.65
Saves/game1.17 1.14 1.09 – 1.26
Shots/game2.5 2.46 2.33 – 2.59

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
xxDaddysHerexx S25Challenger 0.80.611.07 0.60
Shrek Is The Best Anime S26Rival 0.640.681.18 0.70
vAirwick S25Rival 0.790.561.1 0.71
hoyci S25Rival 0.770.681.09 0.75
xolzkii S21Veteran 0.760.651.35 0.75
Armando S23Veteran 0.720.551.3 0.80
1999 Toyota Camry S24Rival 0.820.511.2 0.82
gravy-_-is tired S26Prospect 0.760.621.17 0.83
dafiya711 S24Rival 0.890.571.07 0.84
Terx S25Veteran 0.580.561.22 0.85

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.