iSilently

Contender - Wobbegongs - 19-11 (0.633)
11 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 30 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 11/100 Tier dominance: 50th (-0.2 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
13% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 286.87 8606
27th
Goals 0.67 20
42nd
Assists 0.43 13
35th
Saves 1.0 30
26th
Shots 1.83 55
16th
Demos 1.1 33
80th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points286.87 #812 / 1215 #81 / 134
Goals0.67 #601 / 1215 #60 / 134
Assists0.43 #682 / 1215 #71 / 134
Saves1.0 #738 / 1215 #68 / 134
Demos1.1 #327 / 1215 #22 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (30 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (75 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8606 13483 13591 13591 13482 – 13700
Goals 20 31 32 31 26 – 37
Assists 13 20 21 19 16 – 25
Saves 30 47 47 50 41 – 54
Shots 55 86 88 86 79 – 97
Demos 33 52 51 51 44 – 57
MVPs 4 6 6 6 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 28 /100

From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 359.5
Avg boost 48.7
Boost stolen / game 499.4
% time at 0 boost 12.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1423.0
% supersonic 8.6%
% time high in air 1.7%
Avg distance to ball 3183.8
% time attacking third 20.3%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 32.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Amateur49 0.630.241.74 369
S25Contender26 0.540.151.12 383
S26Contender26 0.620.461.04 359

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.61 0.64 0.58 – 0.7
Assists/game0.46 0.44 0.42 – 0.5
Saves/game1.04 1.11 0.96 – 1.17
Shots/game1.81 1.86 1.76 – 2.02

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Unc_Rez S25Challenger 0.70.481.04 0.47
DinninDu S25Rival 0.670.441.11 0.66
Unc_Rez S24Challenger 0.560.441.25 0.71
Ark7000 S17Amateur 0.720.441.11 0.76
hoyci S22Veteran 0.580.421.06 0.96
Cynical89 S24Prospect 0.550.450.94 0.99
dyl S18Challenger 0.670.561.22 1.01
fyooze S22Challenger 0.630.40.9 1.03
Shea Butter S26Challenger 0.790.531.16 1.05
MeOnDisplay S24Challenger 0.50.50.83 1.06

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.