Unc_Rez

Prospect - Koala Bears - 19-13 (0.594)
22 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 22/100 Tier dominance: 41st (-0.2 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
12% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 315.5 10096
38th
Goals 0.62 20
30th
Assists 0.69 22
82nd
Saves 1.16 37
45th
Shots 2.19 70
33rd
Demos 0.97 31
58th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points315.5 #673 / 1215 #82 / 161
Goals0.62 #660 / 1215 #91 / 161
Assists0.69 #203 / 1215 #24 / 161
Saves1.16 #626 / 1215 #73 / 161
Demos0.97 #451 / 1215 #56 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (55 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10096 16722 16785 16785 16655 – 16914
Goals 20 33 34 33 28 – 39
Assists 22 36 36 35 30 – 42
Saves 37 61 62 61 54 – 69
Shots 70 116 117 113 106 – 128
Demos 31 51 51 52 44 – 58
MVPs 4 7 7 7 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 34 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 386.4
Avg boost 51.3
Boost stolen / game 526.3
% time at 0 boost 13.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1448.9
% supersonic 9.5%
% time high in air 4.0%
Avg distance to ball 3057.0
% time attacking third 20.5%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 30.4%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Challenger32 0.560.441.25 363
S25Challenger23 0.70.481.04 355
S26Prospect28 0.680.641.11 386

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.68 0.7 0.67 – 0.77
Assists/game0.64 0.58 0.56 – 0.65
Saves/game1.11 1.11 1.07 – 1.22
Shots/game2.32 2.35 2.24 – 2.5

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
DonkeyPancakes2 S24Rival 0.640.581.09 0.59
StruttRL S25Prospect 0.680.571.2 0.60
Jaybeauh S26Veteran 0.80.61.1 0.77
Scomps S25Challenger 0.690.571.09 0.92
ProdiJoe S26Challenger 0.830.621.07 0.95
GFC-RAIDER S25Challenger 0.750.561.19 0.95
IlLuSiOnChAoS S19Contender 0.670.671.08 0.96
Moist_Games S25Prospect 0.750.781.15 0.98
Metatonixz S22Veteran 0.70.571.11 1.00
GFC-RAIDER S26Prospect 0.780.591.06 1.00

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.