mmmmgoodtoastRLL

Contender - Sirens - 16-8 (0.667)
16 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 24 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 16/100 Tier dominance: 91st (+1.7 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Playmaker / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
10
42% of games
Shot %
41%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 369.92 8878
85th
Goals 0.92 22
77th
Assists 0.67 16
81st
Saves 1.17 28
54th
Shots 2.25 54
46th
Demos 0.92 22
63rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points369.92 #278 / 1215 #17 / 134
Goals0.92 #233 / 1215 #24 / 134
Assists0.67 #229 / 1215 #18 / 134
Saves1.17 #609 / 1215 #48 / 134
Demos0.92 #498 / 1215 #41 / 134

Season projection

Medium confidence

64% of the season is played (24 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 8878 13687 13515 13412 – 13619
Goals 22 34 33 28 – 38
Assists 16 25 24 20 – 28
Saves 28 43 43 37 – 49
Shots 54 83 84 75 – 92
Demos 22 34 34 28 – 39
MVPs 10 15 15 11 – 18

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 84 /100

From 20 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 380.7
Avg boost 47.6
Boost stolen / game 556.8
% time at 0 boost 11.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1407.9
% supersonic 10.2%
% time high in air 4.4%
Avg distance to ball 2721.9
% time attacking third 23.6%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 43.0%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.95 0.89 0.82 – 1.0
Assists/game0.8 0.76 0.67 – 0.82
Saves/game1.1 1.08 1.04 – 1.19
Shots/game2.3 2.58 2.47 – 2.67

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Mulliganisoup S21Contender 0.810.791.08 1.06
Rich-Rollin6060 S20Amateur 0.950.680.95 1.08
shadic148 S20Challenger 0.920.831.0 1.11
PoupSoup S25Rival 0.750.761.07 1.14
Lewii jr. S25Contender 0.890.821.0 1.18
dyl S26Challenger 0.790.791.25 1.27
cartman_-_ S24Veteran 1.020.841.08 1.33
Kayo S24Rival 0.770.771.19 1.38
Slashfabo420 S18Amateur 1.030.740.95 1.41
JoeExotic S13Rival 1.01.01.12 1.48

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.