nickm

Elite - Raptors - 11-22 (0.333)
75 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 33 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 75/100 Tier dominance: 15th (-1.0 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
9% of games
Shot %
17%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 316.45 10443
18th
Goals 0.45 15
9th
Assists 0.52 17
38th
Saves 1.24 41
33rd
Shots 2.73 90
64th
Demos 0.97 32
47th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points316.45 #667 / 1215 #106 / 179
Goals0.45 #842 / 1215 #117 / 179
Assists0.52 #509 / 1215 #79 / 179
Saves1.24 #537 / 1215 #87 / 179
Demos0.97 #449 / 1215 #68 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (33 → ~59 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (188 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10443 18671 18864 18864 18714 – 19015
Goals 15 27 28 30 22 – 34
Assists 17 30 31 31 25 – 37
Saves 41 73 74 73 65 – 83
Shots 90 161 160 162 146 – 174
Demos 32 57 58 55 49 – 66
MVPs 3 5 6 6 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 14 /100

From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 412.5
Avg boost 46.2
Boost stolen / game 471.8
% time at 0 boost 15.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1501.1
% supersonic 11.1%
% time high in air 5.4%
Avg distance to ball 2786.1
% time attacking third 21.8%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 1.3
Shooting % 16.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Veteran24 0.960.880.83 416
S21Elite4 0.250.51.5 403
S23Veteran52 1.00.481.4 423
S24Elite56 0.770.641.07 403
S25Elite56 0.80.661.21 402
S26Elite29 0.480.521.24 413

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~64 OVR High confidence — inferred from 1835 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 75.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)77903132-3162 50% 393
RSC (official)4311-21 34% 352
Non-RSC ranked 3v31835678-705 49% 328
Non-RSC other59122443-2436 50% 414

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.48 0.62 0.56 – 0.67
Assists/game0.52 0.5 0.46 – 0.59
Saves/game1.24 1.21 1.13 – 1.31
Shots/game2.83 2.59 2.42 – 2.75

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
slurp S14Elite 0.620.381.31 1.05
huday S26Elite 0.620.541.25 1.09
EKA Luminous S24Elite 0.730.571.19 1.12
Rampage S24Rival 0.560.441.09 1.12
PoupSoup S24Rival 0.70.481.24 1.16
BrdTrd999 S22Challenger 0.630.471.13 1.17
Turtle_Supreme S24Rival 0.550.571.1 1.18
rex S24Elite 0.670.451.31 1.23
Ray Finkle S23Rival 0.560.591.46 1.24
TheAngryTryhard S17Elite 0.470.531.26 1.24

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.