Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 344.0 | 4128 |
|
| Goals | 0.83 | 10 |
|
| Assists | 0.83 | 10 |
|
| Saves | 1.33 | 16 |
|
| Shots | 2.42 | 29 |
|
| Demos | 1.17 | 14 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 344.0 | #466 / 1215 | #54 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.83 | #331 / 1215 | #50 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.83 | #70 / 1215 | #9 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.33 | #430 / 1215 | #46 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.17 | #283 / 1215 | #36 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (12 → ~20 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (63 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 4128 | 6880 | 6837 | 6837 | 6758 – 6916 |
| Goals | 10 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 13 – 20 |
| Assists | 10 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 12 – 19 |
| Saves | 16 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 21 – 31 |
| Shots | 29 | 48 | 48 | 47 | 42 – 55 |
| Demos | 14 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 18 – 27 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 – 8 |
From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 280.3 |
| Avg boost | 49.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 302.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.2% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1395.6 |
| % supersonic | 7.4% |
| % time high in air | 3.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3001.0 |
| % time attacking third | 18.7% |
| Demos / game | 1.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 34.5% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Prospect | 19 | 0.42 | 0.58 | 1.16 | 263 |
| S25 | Prospect | 44 | 0.68 | 0.77 | 1.34 | 278 |
| S26 | Prospect | 12 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 280 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.83 | 0.75 | 0.71 – 0.87 |
| Assists/game | 0.83 | 0.67 | 0.6 – 0.74 |
| Saves/game | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.22 – 1.46 |
| Shots/game | 2.42 | 2.42 | 2.25 – 2.55 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| robophant | S24 | Challenger | 0.71 | 0.82 | 1.29 | 0.94 |
| Ritter | S26 | Elite | 0.8 | 0.75 | 1.4 | 1.04 |
| Darth -.- | S23 | Prospect | 0.71 | 0.86 | 1.43 | 1.17 |
| ShinxX403 | S24 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.85 | 1.36 | 1.23 |
| Trios | S25 | Contender | 0.98 | 0.69 | 1.13 | 1.42 |
| TRobb | S14 | Amateur | 0.7 | 0.59 | 1.18 | 1.48 |
| xTiTax_ | S25 | Prospect | 0.9 | 0.64 | 1.3 | 1.51 |
| Chis | S17 | Veteran | 0.78 | 0.67 | 1.22 | 1.52 |
| Hawkish | S20 | Veteran | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.53 |
| Merioch | S24 | Challenger | 0.68 | 0.58 | 1.48 | 1.56 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.