Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 271.45 | 8958 |
|
| Goals | 0.55 | 18 |
|
| Assists | 0.48 | 16 |
|
| Saves | 0.82 | 27 |
|
| Shots | 1.82 | 60 |
|
| Demos | 0.94 | 31 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 271.45 | #851 / 1215 | #92 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.55 | #764 / 1215 | #86 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.48 | #583 / 1215 | #54 / 134 |
| Saves | 0.82 | #868 / 1215 | #98 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.94 | #469 / 1215 | #37 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (33 → ~51 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (197 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8958 | 13844 | 14004 | 14004 | 13895 – 14114 |
| Goals | 18 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 23 – 33 |
| Assists | 16 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 20 – 29 |
| Saves | 27 | 42 | 43 | 43 | 37 – 49 |
| Shots | 60 | 93 | 95 | 97 | 85 – 104 |
| Demos | 31 | 48 | 47 | 46 | 41 – 54 |
| MVPs | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 – 9 |
From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 323.8 |
| Avg boost | 56.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 412.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.2% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1483.5 |
| % supersonic | 10.3% |
| % time high in air | 2.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3368.6 |
| % time attacking third | 19.4% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 32.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Amateur | 12 | 0.92 | 0.67 | 1.08 | 276 |
| S21 | Contender | 40 | 1.05 | 0.65 | 0.8 | 291 |
| S22 | Contender | 40 | 0.6 | 0.22 | 1.05 | 312 |
| S23 | Prospect | 19 | 0.63 | 0.74 | 0.95 | 338 |
| S24 | Prospect | 39 | 1.1 | 0.59 | 1.28 | 350 |
| S25 | Contender | 47 | 1.02 | 0.68 | 0.96 | 353 |
| S26 | Contender | 30 | 0.6 | 0.47 | 0.87 | 324 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.6 | 0.57 | 0.51 – 0.63 |
| Assists/game | 0.47 | 0.42 | 0.38 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 0.87 | 0.96 | 0.9 – 1.03 |
| Shots/game | 1.8 | 1.83 | 1.73 – 1.93 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1REW00F | S18 | Amateur | 0.5 | 0.38 | 0.82 | 0.87 |
| YERP_YERP02 | S21 | Contender | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.93 | 0.89 |
| Bazzinga | S26 | Rival | 0.73 | 0.42 | 1.08 | 0.91 |
| Mysty | S25 | Rival | 0.51 | 0.4 | 0.91 | 0.93 |
| VeryBadKittyCat | S23 | Challenger | 0.55 | 0.36 | 1.09 | 0.97 |
| Angry-Hermit | S21 | Contender | 0.56 | 0.42 | 0.83 | 1.01 |
| hoyci | S22 | Veteran | 0.58 | 0.42 | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| Novarchite / Jaager | S23 | Challenger | 0.66 | 0.41 | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| patrick | S14 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.5 | 0.62 | 1.05 |
| YourBadKittyCat | S21 | Contender | 0.62 | 0.4 | 1.13 | 1.06 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.