Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 418.41 | 13389 |
|
| Goals | 0.78 | 25 |
|
| Assists | 0.91 | 29 |
|
| Saves | 1.69 | 54 |
|
| Shots | 3.03 | 97 |
|
| Demos | 0.59 | 19 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 418.41 | #71 / 1215 | #8 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.78 | #421 / 1215 | #64 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.91 | #44 / 1215 | #6 / 179 |
| Saves | 1.69 | #118 / 1215 | #26 / 179 |
| Demos | 0.59 | #758 / 1215 | #109 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (32 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (169 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 13389 | 23849 | 23530 | 23530 | 23365 – 23695 |
| Goals | 25 | 45 | 44 | 45 | 37 – 52 |
| Assists | 29 | 52 | 50 | 49 | 43 – 58 |
| Saves | 54 | 96 | 95 | 95 | 84 – 105 |
| Shots | 97 | 173 | 170 | 172 | 156 – 184 |
| Demos | 19 | 34 | 36 | 34 | 29 – 43 |
| MVPs | 8 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 10 – 18 |
From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 367.0 |
| Avg boost | 57.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 559.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1513.1 |
| % supersonic | 13.0% |
| % time high in air | 6.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2878.7 |
| % time attacking third | 20.1% |
| Demos / game | 0.3 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 30.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 12 | 0.92 | 0.75 | 1.83 | 340 |
| S21 | Veteran | 12 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 1.83 | 360 |
| S22 | Veteran | 49 | 0.88 | 0.63 | 1.41 | 356 |
| S23 | Elite | 44 | 0.91 | 0.48 | 1.16 | 335 |
| S25 | Elite | 52 | 0.62 | 0.6 | 1.83 | 336 |
| S26 | Elite | 28 | 0.82 | 0.89 | 1.79 | 362 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.82 | 0.84 | 0.8 – 0.89 |
| Assists/game | 0.89 | 0.81 | 0.75 – 0.85 |
| Saves/game | 1.79 | 1.62 | 1.54 – 1.73 |
| Shots/game | 2.93 | 2.92 | 2.75 – 3.08 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JACKS0NTHEBOSS | S22 | Master | 0.8 | 0.83 | 1.66 | 0.97 |
| BallChasinq | S24 | Elite | 0.89 | 0.84 | 1.71 | 1.06 |
| boywunder | S26 | Elite | 0.72 | 0.81 | 1.78 | 1.12 |
| Tinsel | S17 | Elite | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.62 | 1.16 |
| Cryptt. | S25 | Premier | 0.8 | 0.83 | 1.83 | 1.20 |
| DivineRL_ TTV | S23 | Premier | 0.88 | 0.75 | 1.62 | 1.23 |
| feb | S19 | Rival | 0.83 | 0.75 | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| Daylon | S25 | Elite | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.62 | 1.28 |
| insanity | S24 | Premier | 0.69 | 0.77 | 1.62 | 1.29 |
| Kouki | S13 | Veteran | 0.69 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.29 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.