Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 364.17 | 6555 |
|
| Goals | 0.89 | 16 |
|
| Assists | 0.5 | 9 |
|
| Saves | 1.56 | 28 |
|
| Shots | 2.39 | 43 |
|
| Demos | 0.67 | 12 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 364.17 | #309 / 1215 | #42 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.89 | #261 / 1215 | #38 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.5 | #516 / 1215 | #74 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.56 | #206 / 1215 | #30 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.67 | #696 / 1215 | #106 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (18 → ~32 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (117 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6555 | 11653 | 11554 | 11554 | 11442 – 11667 |
| Goals | 16 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 22 – 33 |
| Assists | 9 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 12 – 20 |
| Saves | 28 | 50 | 49 | 49 | 42 – 56 |
| Shots | 43 | 76 | 77 | 77 | 68 – 86 |
| Demos | 12 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 18 – 28 |
| MVPs | 5 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 5 – 11 |
From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 407.1 |
| Avg boost | 54.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 552.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1619.2 |
| % supersonic | 17.2% |
| % time high in air | 5.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3078.2 |
| % time attacking third | 22.0% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 35.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Rival | 53 | 0.85 | 0.57 | 1.25 | 403 |
| S25 | Rival | 64 | 0.77 | 0.33 | 1.59 | 376 |
| S26 | Rival | 14 | 0.71 | 0.57 | 1.36 | 407 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.58 – 0.71 |
| Assists/game | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.54 – 0.62 |
| Saves/game | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.33 – 1.47 |
| Shots/game | 2.07 | 2.31 | 2.17 – 2.42 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skillz Issue | S24 | Rival | 0.72 | 0.55 | 1.51 | 0.59 |
| bradyK- | S24 | Elite | 0.67 | 0.56 | 1.28 | 1.01 |
| Frijole | S22 | Master | 0.61 | 0.67 | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| Sangani | S26 | Premier | 0.58 | 0.67 | 1.42 | 1.14 |
| taz.rm | S24 | Elite | 0.56 | 0.59 | 1.41 | 1.16 |
| Nahzey | S23 | Elite | 0.5 | 0.67 | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| oneplayamaker | S22 | Veteran | 0.76 | 0.67 | 1.41 | 1.24 |
| ImSouperGreat | S26 | Master | 0.68 | 0.5 | 1.18 | 1.28 |
| Justin | S25 | Elite | 0.69 | 0.45 | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Sean | S22 | Premier | 0.58 | 0.64 | 1.31 | 1.29 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.