sleepzey

Rival - Mining Legion - 10-8 (0.556)
54 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 18 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 54/100 Tier dominance: 71st (+0.6 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Anchor / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
28% of games
Shot %
37%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 364.17 6555
69th
Goals 0.89 16
72nd
Assists 0.5 9
40th
Saves 1.56 28
78th
Shots 2.39 43
38th
Demos 0.67 12
21st

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points364.17 #309 / 1215 #42 / 164
Goals0.89 #261 / 1215 #38 / 164
Assists0.5 #516 / 1215 #74 / 164
Saves1.56 #206 / 1215 #30 / 164
Demos0.67 #696 / 1215 #106 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (18 → ~32 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (117 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6555 11653 11554 11554 11442 – 11667
Goals 16 28 28 28 22 – 33
Assists 9 16 16 16 12 – 20
Saves 28 50 49 49 42 – 56
Shots 43 76 77 77 68 – 86
Demos 12 21 23 23 18 – 28
MVPs 5 9 8 8 5 – 11

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 64 /100

From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 407.1
Avg boost 54.8
Boost stolen / game 552.7
% time at 0 boost 8.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1619.2
% supersonic 17.2%
% time high in air 5.5%
Avg distance to ball 3078.2
% time attacking third 22.0%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 35.7%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Rival53 0.850.571.25 403
S25Rival64 0.770.331.59 376
S26Rival14 0.710.571.36 407

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.71 0.67 0.58 – 0.71
Assists/game0.57 0.57 0.54 – 0.62
Saves/game1.36 1.41 1.33 – 1.47
Shots/game2.07 2.31 2.17 – 2.42

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Skillz Issue S24Rival 0.720.551.51 0.59
bradyK- S24Elite 0.670.561.28 1.01
Frijole S22Master 0.610.671.44 1.07
Sangani S26Premier 0.580.671.42 1.14
taz.rm S24Elite 0.560.591.41 1.16
Nahzey S23Elite 0.50.671.39 1.22
oneplayamaker S22Veteran 0.760.671.41 1.24
ImSouperGreat S26Master 0.680.51.18 1.28
Justin S25Elite 0.690.451.33 1.28
Sean S22Premier 0.580.641.31 1.29

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.