tokyo.

Premier - Gummy Bears - 15-9 (0.625)
98 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 24 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 98/100 Tier dominance: 62nd (+0.0 SD) Projects as: Premier Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
17% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Premier)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 384.75 9234
67th
Goals 0.75 18
46th
Assists 0.62 15
56th
Saves 1.58 38
67th
Shots 2.62 63
52nd
Demos 1.46 35
69th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Premier
Points384.75 #192 / 1213 #17 / 73
Goals0.75 #443 / 1213 #22 / 73
Assists0.62 #293 / 1213 #21 / 73
Saves1.58 #183 / 1213 #16 / 73
Demos1.46 #160 / 1213 #16 / 73

Season projection

Medium confidence

64% of the season is played (24 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 9234 14236 14164 14058 – 14271
Goals 18 28 28 23 – 33
Assists 15 23 23 19 – 27
Saves 38 59 58 51 – 65
Shots 63 97 98 89 – 106
Demos 35 54 53 47 – 60
MVPs 4 6 6 4 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 67 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 390.2
Avg boost 49.8
Boost stolen / game 600.1
% time at 0 boost 9.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1513.4
% supersonic 13.9%
% time high in air 6.1%
Avg distance to ball 2641.3
% time attacking third 22.0%
Demos / game 1.5
Demos taken / game 1.6
Shooting % 26.8%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~77 OVR Medium confidence — inferred from 71 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 98.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)330131-146 47% 426
RSC (official)20-2 0% 470
Non-RSC ranked 3v37131-27 53% 349
Non-RSC other257100-117 46% 447

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.75 0.75 0.72 – 0.83
Assists/game0.62 0.61 0.56 – 0.66
Saves/game1.58 1.53 1.4 – 1.6
Shots/game2.62 2.57 2.4 – 2.64

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
MagesticEagle1 S25Rival 0.840.551.59 0.65
Akuma S26Veteran 0.650.61.5 0.74
Lucas S23Rival 0.770.61.53 0.85
S_ckz S25Elite 0.80.61.78 0.87
jay S24Premier 0.830.671.71 0.87
Benny! S24Veteran 0.820.51.73 0.88
Leonis S20Premier 0.850.651.45 0.89
M0NKEE . S24Veteran 0.750.651.4 0.93
Laser S21Master 0.820.611.57 0.95
johkev S24Challenger 0.850.621.47 0.96

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.