Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 281.23 | 7312 |
|
| Goals | 0.31 | 8 |
|
| Assists | 0.58 | 15 |
|
| Saves | 1.5 | 39 |
|
| Shots | 1.65 | 43 |
|
| Demos | 1.23 | 32 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 281.23 | #825 / 1215 | #121 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.31 | #900 / 1215 | #125 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.58 | #395 / 1215 | #56 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.5 | #240 / 1215 | #32 / 164 |
| Demos | 1.23 | #251 / 1215 | #34 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (26 → ~46 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (195 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7312 | 12937 | 13219 | 13219 | 13095 – 13343 |
| Goals | 8 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 12 – 21 |
| Assists | 15 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 21 – 32 |
| Saves | 39 | 69 | 68 | 67 | 60 – 77 |
| Shots | 43 | 76 | 80 | 80 | 70 – 90 |
| Demos | 32 | 57 | 56 | 56 | 48 – 64 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 8 |
From 22 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 375.3 |
| Avg boost | 46.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 348.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 15.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1475.1 |
| % supersonic | 11.0% |
| % time high in air | 3.6% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2978.9 |
| % time attacking third | 17.6% |
| Demos / game | 1.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.4 |
| Shooting % | 20.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 11 | 0.27 | 0.46 | 1.46 | 380 |
| S21 | Challenger | 14 | 0.86 | 0.79 | 1.07 | 389 |
| S22 | Rival | 5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 277 |
| S23 | Rival | 62 | 0.71 | 0.4 | 1.14 | 367 |
| S24 | Rival | 45 | 0.91 | 0.62 | 1.13 | 371 |
| S25 | Rival | 63 | 0.79 | 0.56 | 1.1 | 370 |
| S26 | Rival | 22 | 0.36 | 0.59 | 1.46 | 375 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.33 – 0.5 |
| Assists/game | 0.59 | 0.55 | 0.49 – 0.62 |
| Saves/game | 1.46 | 1.42 | 1.32 – 1.54 |
| Shots/game | 1.59 | 1.74 | 1.62 – 1.83 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vAirwick | S20 | Challenger | 0.27 | 0.46 | 1.46 | 0.78 |
| DR. BABIES | S19 | Rival | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.90 |
| StruttRL | S20 | Challenger | 0.53 | 0.68 | 1.42 | 1.08 |
| Novarchite | S25 | Challenger | 0.41 | 0.64 | 1.32 | 1.12 |
| Arbartenn | S20 | Elite | 0.38 | 0.62 | 1.25 | 1.12 |
| Humble Potato | S23 | Veteran | 0.41 | 0.62 | 1.59 | 1.18 |
| bubles | S23 | Rival | 0.39 | 0.56 | 1.56 | 1.20 |
| Beans | S14 | Elite | 0.36 | 0.55 | 1.54 | 1.23 |
| Vaz1fy. | S26 | Veteran | 0.52 | 0.7 | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Enthalpy-H | S23 | Challenger | 0.33 | 0.4 | 1.27 | 1.27 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.