Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 370.17 | 11105 |
|
| Goals | 1.13 | 34 |
|
| Assists | 0.4 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 1.2 | 36 |
|
| Shots | 3.17 | 95 |
|
| Demos | 0.93 | 28 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 370.17 | #276 / 1213 | #30 / 161 |
| Goals | 1.13 | #77 / 1213 | #10 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.4 | #710 / 1213 | #99 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.2 | #560 / 1213 | #70 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.93 | #471 / 1213 | #59 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (30 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (198 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11105 | 18508 | 18338 | 18338 | 18203 – 18472 |
| Goals | 34 | 57 | 55 | 57 | 48 – 62 |
| Assists | 12 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 16 – 25 |
| Saves | 36 | 60 | 60 | 58 | 52 – 68 |
| Shots | 95 | 158 | 155 | 159 | 143 – 167 |
| Demos | 28 | 47 | 47 | 45 | 40 – 53 |
| MVPs | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 – 11 |
From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 373.2 |
| Avg boost | 47.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 532.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1485.1 |
| % supersonic | 11.9% |
| % time high in air | 3.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3014.6 |
| % time attacking third | 21.2% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 36.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Amateur | 15 | 1.33 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 302 |
| S22 | Contender | 43 | 1.37 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 324 |
| S23 | Prospect | 54 | 0.91 | 0.52 | 0.83 | 322 |
| S24 | Challenger | 32 | 1.06 | 0.28 | 0.81 | 375 |
| S25 | Prospect | 54 | 1.07 | 0.72 | 1.0 | 385 |
| S26 | Prospect | 30 | 1.13 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 373 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.0 – 1.11 |
| Assists/game | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.41 – 0.52 |
| Saves/game | 1.2 | 1.17 | 1.04 – 1.25 |
| Shots/game | 3.17 | 3.0 | 2.9 – 3.14 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| branthedan | S22 | Prospect | 1.25 | 0.46 | 1.25 | 0.77 |
| Irishhhh | S21 | Veteran | 1.0 | 0.38 | 1.12 | 0.81 |
| Gama The Dwarf | S24 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.53 | 1.23 | 0.85 |
| Bushier Brow | S23 | Rival | 0.98 | 0.49 | 1.32 | 0.90 |
| zerajule | S24 | Challenger | 1.06 | 0.51 | 1.02 | 0.95 |
| Schmeemeet | S25 | Challenger | 1.1 | 0.51 | 1.26 | 0.97 |
| sykoshaggy4200 | S23 | Veteran | 1.09 | 0.52 | 1.35 | 1.01 |
| ACDye2 | S22 | Challenger | 0.96 | 0.5 | 1.23 | 1.01 |
| Zirr_Grzzlr_onTT | S24 | Prospect | 1.11 | 0.38 | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| SirTommyNoble | S26 | Veteran | 1.16 | 0.32 | 1.19 | 1.03 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.