SirTommyNoble

Veteran - Supernova - 19-12 (0.613)
69 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 31 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 69/100 Tier dominance: 75th (+0.7 SD) Projects as: Veteran Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
16% of games
Shot %
34%

Per-game production (percentile within Veteran)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 372.65 11552
66th
Goals 1.16 36
94th
Assists 0.32 10
8th
Saves 1.19 37
30th
Shots 3.39 105
92nd
Demos 0.84 26
36th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Veteran
Points372.65 #260 / 1213 #45 / 169
Goals1.16 #67 / 1213 #8 / 169
Assists0.32 #827 / 1213 #123 / 169
Saves1.19 #567 / 1213 #92 / 169
Demos0.84 #552 / 1213 #84 / 169

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (31 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (242 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11552 20495 20396 20396 20243 – 20549
Goals 36 64 62 63 54 – 70
Assists 10 18 19 20 14 – 24
Saves 37 66 67 67 58 – 75
Shots 105 186 182 184 168 – 197
Demos 26 46 47 48 40 – 55
MVPs 5 9 9 9 6 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 74 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 396.7
Avg boost 49.7
Boost stolen / game 580.0
% time at 0 boost 10.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1533.0
% supersonic 12.3%
% time high in air 3.1%
Avg distance to ball 3159.9
% time attacking third 21.9%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 34.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Veteran8 1.250.751.5 435
S21Veteran7 0.570.430.57 405
S22Veteran60 0.820.681.33 419
S23Veteran52 0.940.751.65 427
S24Veteran58 0.90.481.48 434
S25Veteran64 1.30.481.25 434
S26Veteran31 1.160.321.19 397

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.16 1.04 1.0 – 1.24
Assists/game0.32 0.38 0.27 – 0.5
Saves/game1.19 1.21 1.12 – 1.25
Shots/game3.39 3.14 3.06 – 3.33

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
MissionaryJackk S18Challenger 1.250.251.12 0.91
yoshawatt S26Prospect 1.130.41.2 1.03
Sunex S26Challenger 1.030.291.16 1.20
ShyIsEepy S26Elite 0.960.41.36 1.21
Sauce_Boss_36 S21Veteran 1.00.51.21 1.21
branthedan S22Prospect 1.250.461.25 1.23
cldy. S20Elite 1.00.251.12 1.23
KAYO | ForStytes S26Veteran 1.250.341.12 1.28
Nebulade S14Elite 1.250.380.88 1.29
solar722 S23Master 0.940.451.22 1.30

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.