zZirellia

Prospect - Red Legion - 9-7 (0.562)
29 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 16 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 29/100 Tier dominance: 88th (+1.3 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Playmaker / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
25% of games
Shot %
35%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 382.25 6116
83rd
Goals 0.94 15
77th
Assists 0.81 13
91st
Saves 0.94 15
19th
Shots 2.69 43
69th
Demos 1.0 16
59th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points382.25 #208 / 1215 #23 / 161
Goals0.94 #211 / 1215 #30 / 161
Assists0.81 #82 / 1215 #12 / 161
Saves0.94 #820 / 1215 #108 / 161
Demos1.0 #387 / 1215 #47 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (16 → ~27 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (48 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6116 10321 10131 10131 10033 – 10229
Goals 15 25 25 24 20 – 29
Assists 13 22 21 21 17 – 25
Saves 15 25 26 27 21 – 32
Shots 43 73 71 71 63 – 80
Demos 16 27 27 29 22 – 32
MVPs 4 7 6 6 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 71 /100

From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 470.6
Avg boost 48.6
Boost stolen / game 593.3
% time at 0 boost 19.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1601.0
% supersonic 19.8%
% time high in air 4.9%
Avg distance to ball 3028.0
% time attacking third 20.7%
Demos / game 1.3
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 27.4%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Prospect48 0.730.621.31 439
S26Prospect12 0.670.751.25 471

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.67 0.75 0.69 – 0.81
Assists/game0.75 0.68 0.62 – 0.77
Saves/game1.25 1.31 1.14 – 1.38
Shots/game2.58 2.67 2.54 – 2.77

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Lil Windex S21Elite 0.620.811.44 1.16
Trvyn S25Veteran 0.810.711.36 1.16
jhonko S24Veteran 0.690.761.38 1.18
TyrannosaurusPapercut781 S23Premier 0.710.591.23 1.22
torro S26Elite 0.730.731.37 1.26
Chazie. S24Elite 0.820.751.38 1.28
Jnx-me S26Veteran 0.580.621.42 1.29
T. S25Premier 0.760.671.16 1.29
Nahzey S19Veteran 0.750.581.08 1.30
Andy S25Premier 0.710.671.42 1.31

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.