Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 382.25 | 6116 |
|
| Goals | 0.94 | 15 |
|
| Assists | 0.81 | 13 |
|
| Saves | 0.94 | 15 |
|
| Shots | 2.69 | 43 |
|
| Demos | 1.0 | 16 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 382.25 | #208 / 1215 | #23 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.94 | #211 / 1215 | #30 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.81 | #82 / 1215 | #12 / 161 |
| Saves | 0.94 | #820 / 1215 | #108 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.0 | #387 / 1215 | #47 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (16 → ~27 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (48 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6116 | 10321 | 10131 | 10131 | 10033 – 10229 |
| Goals | 15 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 20 – 29 |
| Assists | 13 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 17 – 25 |
| Saves | 15 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 21 – 32 |
| Shots | 43 | 73 | 71 | 71 | 63 – 80 |
| Demos | 16 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 22 – 32 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 – 9 |
From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 470.6 |
| Avg boost | 48.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 593.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 19.7% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1601.0 |
| % supersonic | 19.8% |
| % time high in air | 4.9% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3028.0 |
| % time attacking third | 20.7% |
| Demos / game | 1.3 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 27.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Prospect | 48 | 0.73 | 0.62 | 1.31 | 439 |
| S26 | Prospect | 12 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 471 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.69 – 0.81 |
| Assists/game | 0.75 | 0.68 | 0.62 – 0.77 |
| Saves/game | 1.25 | 1.31 | 1.14 – 1.38 |
| Shots/game | 2.58 | 2.67 | 2.54 – 2.77 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lil Windex | S21 | Elite | 0.62 | 0.81 | 1.44 | 1.16 |
| Trvyn | S25 | Veteran | 0.81 | 0.71 | 1.36 | 1.16 |
| jhonko | S24 | Veteran | 0.69 | 0.76 | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| TyrannosaurusPapercut781 | S23 | Premier | 0.71 | 0.59 | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| torro | S26 | Elite | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1.37 | 1.26 |
| Chazie. | S24 | Elite | 0.82 | 0.75 | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Jnx-me | S26 | Veteran | 0.58 | 0.62 | 1.42 | 1.29 |
| T. | S25 | Premier | 0.76 | 0.67 | 1.16 | 1.29 |
| Nahzey | S19 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.58 | 1.08 | 1.30 |
| Andy | S25 | Premier | 0.71 | 0.67 | 1.42 | 1.31 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.