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Prospect - Tomcats - 14-12 (0.538)
26 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 26 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 26/100 Tier dominance: 68th (+0.5 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
23% of games
Shot %
38%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 431.85 11228
96th
Goals 0.96 25
80th
Assists 0.54 14
53rd
Saves 1.92 50
96th
Shots 2.5 65
53rd
Demos 0.88 23
50th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points431.85 #39 / 1215 #5 / 161
Goals0.96 #197 / 1215 #26 / 161
Assists0.54 #462 / 1215 #61 / 161
Saves1.92 #48 / 1215 #5 / 161
Demos0.88 #527 / 1215 #67 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (26 → ~43 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 11228 18569 18164 18034 – 18295
Goals 25 41 40 34 – 47
Assists 14 23 23 18 – 28
Saves 50 83 80 71 – 88
Shots 65 108 107 97 – 117
Demos 23 38 38 32 – 44
MVPs 6 10 10 7 – 13

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 85 /100

From 22 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 399.9
Avg boost 52.8
Boost stolen / game 434.6
% time at 0 boost 11.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1512.6
% supersonic 14.5%
% time high in air 4.2%
Avg distance to ball 2992.6
% time attacking third 18.3%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 38.3%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.91 0.83 0.75 – 0.88
Assists/game0.36 0.39 0.37 – 0.45
Saves/game1.96 1.84 1.75 – 1.92
Shots/game2.36 2.5 2.39 – 2.67

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Skriviere S23Veteran 0.830.51.83 0.87
SGE Nemesis S19Veteran 0.750.381.75 1.03
Chase S21Challenger 0.740.442.0 1.05
AcX S21Master 0.930.51.9 1.07
Neoblastz S20Premier 0.850.312.08 1.11
Stingray S24Elite 0.860.521.88 1.17
Duck S24Premier 0.850.352.0 1.17
SlimmySlimReaper S23Rival 0.80.391.55 1.22
xPotatodactylx S26Prospect 0.940.471.71 1.22
veil._ S20Elite 0.750.52.0 1.23

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.