Ary

Rival - Jets - 15-13 (0.536)
👤 Career - also played as Akali, YRA, AryCraft, Wntr
54 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 54/100 Tier dominance: 69th (+0.5 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Star all-rounder
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
18% of games
Shot %
37%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 407.14 11400
90th
Goals 0.93 26
76th
Assists 0.79 22
92nd
Saves 1.75 49
90th
Shots 2.5 70
47th
Demos 0.64 18
20th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points407.14 #100 / 1215 #13 / 164
Goals0.93 #225 / 1215 #32 / 164
Assists0.79 #95 / 1215 #11 / 164
Saves1.75 #82 / 1215 #11 / 164
Demos0.64 #722 / 1215 #108 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (28 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (39 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11400 20357 20035 20035 19884 – 20186
Goals 26 46 46 46 38 – 53
Assists 22 39 38 39 32 – 45
Saves 49 88 86 82 76 – 95
Shots 70 125 125 127 113 – 137
Demos 18 32 34 31 28 – 41
MVPs 5 9 9 9 6 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 64 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 385.9
Avg boost 44.8
Boost stolen / game 465.5
% time at 0 boost 10.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1473.3
% supersonic 10.8%
% time high in air 3.7%
Avg distance to ball 2752.6
% time attacking third 20.3%
Demos / game 0.7
Demos taken / game 1.8
Shooting % 37.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Rival15 0.80.671.13 370
S21Rival4 1.00.751.25 357
S24Veteran4 0.251.01.25 390
S25Rival24 0.880.750.88 360
S26Rival24 0.960.881.62 386

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~67 OVR High confidence — inferred from 110 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 54.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)25251145-846 58% 360
RSC (official)1813-3 81% 296
Non-RSC ranked 3v311036-37 49% 332
Non-RSC other23971096-806 58% 362

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.96 0.89 0.8 – 0.93
Assists/game0.88 0.8 0.71 – 0.83
Saves/game1.62 1.54 1.47 – 1.67
Shots/game2.5 2.58 2.44 – 2.78

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Cognitixn S22Rival 0.930.81.47 0.84
Cognitixn S26Rival 0.830.781.56 1.02
MrToastyy99 S26Veteran 0.910.731.54 1.04
Hunter S25Challenger 0.830.831.54 1.06
doctorprofessor_ S24Rival 0.840.811.51 1.14
Pooka2854 S18Rival 0.820.731.54 1.16
XuR S19Contender 0.90.81.6 1.19
imakuu S26Elite 0.770.771.69 1.23
StickisBad S20Prospect 0.930.681.79 1.25
dyl S22Challenger 0.860.691.49 1.28

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.