Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 383.48 | 8820 |
|
| Goals | 0.83 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.78 | 18 |
|
| Saves | 1.57 | 36 |
|
| Shots | 2.39 | 55 |
|
| Demos | 0.83 | 19 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 383.48 | #199 / 1215 | #28 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.83 | #362 / 1215 | #55 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.78 | #99 / 1215 | #12 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.57 | #196 / 1215 | #28 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.83 | #577 / 1215 | #87 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (23 → ~41 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (160 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8820 | 15723 | 15526 | 15526 | 15394 – 15658 |
| Goals | 19 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 27 – 40 |
| Assists | 18 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 25 – 37 |
| Saves | 36 | 64 | 63 | 63 | 55 – 72 |
| Shots | 55 | 98 | 99 | 100 | 88 – 109 |
| Demos | 19 | 34 | 35 | 35 | 28 – 41 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 10 |
From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 394.9 |
| Avg boost | 53.5 |
| Boost stolen / game | 491.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.2% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1488.1 |
| % supersonic | 11.6% |
| % time high in air | 3.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2986.9 |
| % time attacking third | 21.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.8 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 33.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 4 | 0.25 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 374 |
| S21 | Rival | 8 | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.25 | 382 |
| S22 | Rival | 15 | 0.93 | 0.8 | 1.47 | 376 |
| S23 | Rival | 55 | 1.13 | 0.71 | 1.36 | 403 |
| S24 | Veteran | 59 | 0.71 | 0.34 | 1.42 | 388 |
| S25 | Veteran | 23 | 0.61 | 0.39 | 1.48 | 392 |
| S26 | Rival | 23 | 0.83 | 0.78 | 1.56 | 395 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.73 – 0.85 |
| Assists/game | 0.78 | 0.72 | 0.69 – 0.8 |
| Saves/game | 1.56 | 1.49 | 1.45 – 1.54 |
| Shots/game | 2.39 | 2.52 | 2.44 – 2.67 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pooka2854 | S18 | Rival | 0.82 | 0.73 | 1.54 | 0.65 |
| dyl | S22 | Challenger | 0.86 | 0.69 | 1.49 | 0.80 |
| MrToastyy99 | S26 | Veteran | 0.91 | 0.73 | 1.54 | 0.91 |
| trendy <3 | S24 | Veteran | 0.77 | 0.8 | 1.47 | 0.94 |
| dyl | S26 | Challenger | 0.79 | 0.79 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Ary | S26 | Rival | 0.96 | 0.88 | 1.62 | 1.02 |
| hi stats its Snack Time! | S22 | Master | 0.79 | 0.72 | 1.46 | 1.05 |
| Chill | S13 | Veteran | 0.85 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| NekomancerKoral | S22 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.69 | 1.62 | 1.08 |
| Ay G. | S23 | Elite | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.44 | 1.12 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.