Colinn

Elite - Commanders - 12-18 (0.400)
👤 Career - also played as Orfeo
81 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 30 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 81/100 Tier dominance: 65th (+0.4 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Anchor / Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
10% of games
Shot %
32%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 399.93 11998
86th
Goals 0.83 25
60th
Assists 0.7 21
71st
Saves 1.93 58
95th
Shots 2.63 79
55th
Demos 1.67 50
91st

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points399.93 #125 / 1215 #18 / 179
Goals0.83 #331 / 1215 #48 / 179
Assists0.7 #188 / 1215 #34 / 179
Saves1.93 #46 / 1215 #6 / 179
Demos1.67 #97 / 1215 #12 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (30 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (157 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11998 21196 20977 20977 20823 – 21131
Goals 25 44 44 44 37 – 51
Assists 21 37 37 37 30 – 43
Saves 58 102 100 99 89 – 110
Shots 79 140 139 142 127 – 152
Demos 50 88 85 88 76 – 95
MVPs 3 5 6 6 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 96 /100

From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 443.8
Avg boost 48.6
Boost stolen / game 573.0
% time at 0 boost 11.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1643.8
% supersonic 21.6%
% time high in air 4.2%
Avg distance to ball 2907.4
% time attacking third 18.7%
Demos / game 1.6
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 31.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Elite8 0.50.751.5 433
S21Elite4 1.751.250.75 447
S22Elite12 0.671.331.08 427
S23Elite61 0.790.641.26 429
S24Elite22 0.820.641.5 425
S25Elite54 1.020.571.48 433
S26Elite26 0.960.811.96 444

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~63 OVR High confidence — inferred from 1231 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 81.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)63502632-2483 51% 377
RSC (official)5227-13 68% 361
Non-RSC ranked 3v31231459-480 49% 326
Non-RSC other50672146-1990 52% 389

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.96 0.9 0.82 – 0.95
Assists/game0.81 0.72 0.6 – 0.75
Saves/game1.96 1.76 1.55 – 1.92
Shots/game2.81 2.83 2.64 – 2.92

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
spuf. S26Premier 0.880.621.88 1.31
Krueger0216 S17Elite 0.750.751.94 1.57
Oibu S24Premier 0.910.61.89 1.59
Reeves S25Premier 0.80.581.76 1.70
kaden S26Premier 0.770.852.15 1.72
Enchanted S24Premier 0.940.831.92 1.80
CantaloupeL0VER S23Elite 0.930.71.73 1.86
DarkOnDisplayRW7 S26Rival 0.810.591.69 1.88
takeeover S22Elite 0.750.751.96 1.88
Dokreo S26Veteran 0.660.751.84 1.95

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.