DJ

Premier - Capybaras - 6-8 (0.429)
95 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 14 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 95/100 Tier dominance: 4th (-1.3 SD) Projects as: Premier Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
7% of games
Shot %
16%

Per-game production (percentile within Premier)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 243.14 3404
0th
Goals 0.29 4
6th
Assists 0.64 9
62nd
Saves 0.93 13
6th
Shots 1.79 25
2nd
Demos 1.86 26
85th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Premier
Points243.14 #901 / 1213 #52 / 73
Goals0.29 #894 / 1213 #49 / 73
Assists0.64 #276 / 1213 #19 / 73
Saves0.93 #819 / 1213 #49 / 73
Demos1.86 #67 / 1213 #8 / 73

Season projection

Low confidence

64% of the season is played (14 → ~22 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (54 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 3404 5349 5697 5697 5625 – 5769
Goals 4 6 8 9 5 – 11
Assists 9 14 14 14 11 – 17
Saves 13 20 22 22 17 – 26
Shots 25 39 42 43 36 – 48
Demos 26 41 39 39 34 – 45
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 9 /100

From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 395.2
Avg boost 51.9
Boost stolen / game 505.2
% time at 0 boost 9.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1566.3
% supersonic 17.5%
% time high in air 4.9%
Avg distance to ball 2854.2
% time attacking third 18.2%
Demos / game 1.9
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 15.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Elite36 0.780.561.31 441
S25Master18 1.220.941.5 429
S26Premier14 0.290.640.93 395

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~61 OVR Low confidence — inferred from 38 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 95.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)1397569-571 50% 379
Non-RSC ranked 3v33815-15 50% 322
Non-RSC other1359554-556 50% 381

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.29 0.5 0.38 – 0.55
Assists/game0.64 0.55 0.5 – 0.64
Saves/game0.93 1.08 1.0 – 1.23
Shots/game1.79 2.0 1.69 – 2.2

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Trvyn S26Elite 0.320.631.1 1.22
DoorTK S25Premier 0.440.561.0 1.51
Shadows_ss S25Prospect 0.430.570.64 1.53
hawk rl S22Premier 0.560.641.08 1.70
gofigga S14Veteran 0.380.50.75 1.73
Evil Gooby S24Elite 0.520.711.34 1.75
Saucey S26Premier 0.410.591.0 1.76
DeadCupCake S18Veteran 0.230.691.08 1.88
Evil Gooby S25Elite 0.40.381.25 1.88
xGUERRAx509 S14Challenger 0.380.381.12 1.88

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.