Ditto -_-

Prospect - Tomcats - 18-17 (0.514)
23 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 35 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 23/100 Tier dominance: 52nd (+0.0 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
7
20% of games
Shot %
33%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 377.66 13218
81st
Goals 0.91 32
74th
Assists 0.43 15
26th
Saves 1.51 53
83rd
Shots 2.8 98
76th
Demos 0.91 32
51st

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points377.66 #231 / 1215 #25 / 161
Goals0.91 #241 / 1215 #34 / 161
Assists0.43 #685 / 1215 #95 / 161
Saves1.51 #239 / 1215 #23 / 161
Demos0.91 #505 / 1215 #65 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (35 → ~58 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 13218 21904 21703 21556 – 21849
Goals 32 53 52 45 – 59
Assists 15 25 25 20 – 30
Saves 53 88 87 77 – 96
Shots 98 162 161 148 – 173
Demos 32 53 53 46 – 60
MVPs 7 12 11 8 – 15

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 38 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 288.7
Avg boost 54.1
Boost stolen / game 363.8
% time at 0 boost 7.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1490.4
% supersonic 12.2%
% time high in air 3.0%
Avg distance to ball 3020.5
% time attacking third 18.8%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 0.7
Shooting % 29.2%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.87 0.89 0.84 – 0.94
Assists/game0.39 0.43 0.38 – 0.46
Saves/game1.45 1.38 1.29 – 1.51
Shots/game2.71 2.61 2.56 – 2.73

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Vaz1fy. S25Veteran 0.90.381.42 1.09
NJ111_ S23Rival 0.980.471.49 1.22
GG K-9 S24Challenger 0.950.451.35 1.23
Bazzinga S22Rival 0.850.411.67 1.28
StaRazor S23Prospect 1.020.461.27 1.31
ShxdowBat S26Prospect 0.960.381.23 1.32
ZavaRL S25Elite 0.910.461.38 1.33
Wildragon112 S24Prospect 0.920.481.58 1.34
j_durv S26Contender 0.640.481.32 1.36
timthebigone S26Prospect 1.140.431.38 1.39

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.