timthebigone

Prospect - Prism Proteges - 10-13 (0.435)
25 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 23 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 25/100 Tier dominance: 61st (+0.2 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
17% of games
Shot %
37%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 367.48 8452
73rd
Goals 1.04 24
86th
Assists 0.43 10
30th
Saves 1.35 31
66th
Shots 2.83 65
77th
Demos 0.83 19
43rd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points367.48 #292 / 1215 #36 / 161
Goals1.04 #119 / 1215 #18 / 161
Assists0.43 #676 / 1215 #91 / 161
Saves1.35 #420 / 1215 #45 / 161
Demos0.83 #577 / 1215 #76 / 161

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (23 → ~38 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (101 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8452 13964 13821 13821 13707 – 13936
Goals 24 40 38 39 33 – 44
Assists 10 17 17 17 13 – 21
Saves 31 51 51 50 44 – 58
Shots 65 107 106 107 96 – 116
Demos 19 31 32 31 26 – 37
MVPs 4 7 7 7 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 61 /100

From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 300.9
Avg boost 46.6
Boost stolen / game 406.7
% time at 0 boost 10.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1472.3
% supersonic 9.3%
% time high in air 2.1%
Avg distance to ball 3032.3
% time attacking third 19.4%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 38.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Amateur47 1.110.41.17 332
S24Challenger11 0.550.640.91 318
S25Prospect43 0.720.421.14 334
S26Prospect21 1.140.431.38 301

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~22 OVR Low confidence — inferred from 33 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 25.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)1059448-383 54% 335
Non-RSC ranked 3v33311-13 46% 260
Non-RSC other1026437-370 54% 338

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.14 1.04 0.96 – 1.25
Assists/game0.43 0.47 0.45 – 0.5
Saves/game1.38 1.33 1.25 – 1.38
Shots/game2.86 2.85 2.66 – 3.04

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Bushier Brow S20Rival 1.070.361.5 0.88
NJ111_ S23Rival 0.980.471.49 0.98
StaRazor S23Prospect 1.020.461.27 1.00
leaf. S26Rival 1.040.421.5 1.03
RedNovaUltimate S17Rival 1.00.381.25 1.13
NJ111_ S22Rival 1.00.421.25 1.15
Steeltoehammer S26Elite 1.00.461.36 1.19
GeneralLeigh91 S26Contender 1.260.421.45 1.21
Butlight_guy S19Challenger 1.360.461.36 1.21
ImZalama S25Challenger 1.040.51.26 1.22

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.