Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 322.54 | 9031 |
|
| Goals | 0.68 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.64 | 18 |
|
| Saves | 1.21 | 34 |
|
| Shots | 2.29 | 64 |
|
| Demos | 1.46 | 41 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 322.54 | #633 / 1215 | #78 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.68 | #589 / 1215 | #81 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.64 | #279 / 1215 | #36 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.21 | #565 / 1215 | #64 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.46 | #151 / 1215 | #13 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (28 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (89 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9031 | 15159 | 15193 | 15193 | 15069 – 15318 |
| Goals | 19 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 26 – 38 |
| Assists | 18 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 24 – 35 |
| Saves | 34 | 57 | 57 | 58 | 49 – 65 |
| Shots | 64 | 107 | 108 | 108 | 97 – 118 |
| Demos | 41 | 69 | 67 | 70 | 59 – 75 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 9 |
From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 324.3 |
| Avg boost | 52.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 510.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1425.2 |
| % supersonic | 9.2% |
| % time high in air | 2.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3125.0 |
| % time attacking third | 21.9% |
| Demos / game | 1.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 27.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Prospect | 6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.83 | 299 |
| S23 | Challenger | 11 | 0.82 | 0.55 | 1.46 | 276 |
| S24 | Challenger | 26 | 0.62 | 0.42 | 1.46 | 305 |
| S25 | Prospect | 52 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 1.38 | 323 |
| S26 | Prospect | 24 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 1.29 | 324 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.67 | 0.66 | 0.61 – 0.74 |
| Assists/game | 0.62 | 0.55 | 0.49 – 0.62 |
| Saves/game | 1.29 | 1.33 | 1.23 – 1.4 |
| Shots/game | 2.38 | 2.36 | 2.21 – 2.44 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GET2DACHOPPA5 | S25 | Prospect | 0.65 | 0.65 | 1.38 | 1.04 |
| oBlueyRL | S25 | Challenger | 0.57 | 0.49 | 1.35 | 1.11 |
| WamBam- | S25 | Challenger | 0.67 | 0.65 | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| ShoddyWolfman | S20 | Rival | 0.64 | 0.59 | 1.27 | 1.19 |
| Shraggaholic | S24 | Prospect | 0.66 | 0.42 | 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Hype.56 | S24 | Challenger | 0.66 | 0.49 | 1.46 | 1.24 |
| superstrikzz | S26 | Contender | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Unc Jeebs | S24 | Rival | 0.66 | 0.61 | 1.2 | 1.26 |
| AZoroARK | S26 | Contender | 0.75 | 0.56 | 1.16 | 1.27 |
| hoyci | S17 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.44 | 1.19 | 1.27 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.