Gambit

Contender - Ponzi Schemers - 16-12 (0.571)
15 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 15/100 Tier dominance: 89th (+1.2 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Playmaker / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
21% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 404.25 11319
91st
Goals 0.89 25
74th
Assists 1.04 29
98th
Saves 1.18 33
59th
Shots 3.07 86
91st
Demos 0.29 8
6th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points404.25 #111 / 1215 #10 / 134
Goals0.89 #256 / 1215 #29 / 134
Assists1.04 #13 / 1215 #2 / 134
Saves1.18 #595 / 1215 #45 / 134
Demos0.29 #912 / 1215 #104 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (28 → ~44 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (90 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11319 17787 17477 17477 17356 – 17598
Goals 25 39 39 39 33 – 44
Assists 29 46 44 43 38 – 50
Saves 33 52 52 51 45 – 58
Shots 86 135 133 132 122 – 143
Demos 8 13 14 14 11 – 18
MVPs 6 9 9 9 6 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 44 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 300.3
Avg boost 49.3
Boost stolen / game 452.8
% time at 0 boost 9.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1369.5
% supersonic 6.1%
% time high in air 3.3%
Avg distance to ball 2653.6
% time attacking third 20.8%
Demos / game 0.3
Demos taken / game 0.6
Shooting % 27.4%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Prospect47 0.960.491.08 267
S25Prospect43 0.490.41.05 263
S26Contender24 0.791.01.29 300

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~37 OVR High confidence — inferred from 610 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 15.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)40141483-1632 48% 292
RSC (official)10448-35 58% 235
Non-RSC ranked 3v3610232-237 49% 284
Non-RSC other33001203-1360 47% 295

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.79 0.83 0.75 – 0.93
Assists/game1.0 0.8 0.74 – 0.93
Saves/game1.29 1.21 1.04 – 1.36
Shots/game2.83 2.65 2.54 – 2.81

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
EvilSuperman_ S21Amateur 0.880.961.33 1.02
Dom TuT S19Prospect 0.751.01.25 1.14
lone wolf S26Prospect 0.710.931.21 1.17
MauiDestroYa S14Challenger 1.01.01.43 1.36
Phteven S14Prospect 0.830.831.08 1.37
le bin. S26Challenger 1.070.861.34 1.42
seandfeeney S26Contender 0.750.81.2 1.58
Merk890 S24Rival 0.860.761.08 1.59
Rhinocersaurus S17Amateur 1.00.930.93 1.68
ttv. blestbb S21Rival 0.70.741.17 1.77

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.