Hypernova

Veteran - Nighthawks - 2-6 (0.250)
68 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 8 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 68/100 Tier dominance: 66th (+0.3 SD) Projects as: Veteran Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
25% of games
Shot %
32%

Per-game production (percentile within Veteran)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 348.88 2791
46th
Goals 0.88 7
68th
Assists 0.38 3
12th
Saves 1.62 13
78th
Shots 2.75 22
60th
Demos 1.38 11
75th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Veteran
Points348.88 #433 / 1215 #73 / 170
Goals0.88 #275 / 1215 #42 / 170
Assists0.38 #761 / 1215 #118 / 170
Saves1.62 #156 / 1215 #29 / 170
Demos1.38 #184 / 1215 #31 / 170

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (8 → ~14 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (161 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 2791 4884 4900 4900 4831 – 4969
Goals 7 12 12 12 9 – 15
Assists 3 5 6 6 3 – 8
Saves 13 23 22 22 18 – 27
Shots 22 38 38 38 32 – 44
Demos 11 19 18 21 14 – 22
MVPs 2 4 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 8 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 445.3
Avg boost 48.7
Boost stolen / game 597.8
% time at 0 boost 12.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1555.9
% supersonic 14.8%
% time high in air 5.3%
Avg distance to ball 3081.0
% time attacking third 21.3%
Demos / game 1.4
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 31.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Rival64 0.860.661.47 450
S24Veteran43 0.910.771.23 445
S25Veteran54 0.590.51.87 450
S26Veteran8 0.880.381.62 445

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~98 OVR High confidence — inferred from 103 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 68.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)1651706-638 53% 377
RSC (official)72-5 29% 320
Non-RSC ranked 3v310337-47 44% 382
Non-RSC other1541667-586 53% 377

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.88 0.82 0.75 – 0.91
Assists/game0.38 0.43 0.39 – 0.48
Saves/game1.62 1.57 1.48 – 1.69
Shots/game2.75 2.69 2.62 – 2.87

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
AvgJoeyB- S19Master 0.750.381.62 0.80
Rzemb1e S25Master 1.020.471.5 0.90
Flame_RL10 S24Veteran 0.920.51.67 1.01
wall2wall3 S22Elite 0.940.381.69 1.04
Eggie- S26Elite 0.880.471.72 1.05
Gyarados-_- S26Rival 0.940.521.45 1.10
Rule S25Premier 0.690.381.54 1.10
Oksano.- S21Challenger 0.710.421.75 1.12
Mimetic S19Rival 0.910.461.64 1.12
Rule S26Premier 0.730.551.64 1.15

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.