Icyissad

Elite - Black-Holes - 16-8 (0.667)
85 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 24 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 85/100 Tier dominance: 94th (+1.7 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Playmaker / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
21% of games
Shot %
34%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 392.96 9431
81st
Goals 0.92 22
75th
Assists 1.08 26
98th
Saves 1.17 28
24th
Shots 2.67 64
57th
Demos 1.33 32
74th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points392.96 #146 / 1215 #24 / 179
Goals0.92 #233 / 1215 #30 / 179
Assists1.08 #10 / 1215 #2 / 179
Saves1.17 #609 / 1215 #97 / 179
Demos1.33 #203 / 1215 #31 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (24 → ~43 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 9431 16897 16715 16577 – 16853
Goals 22 39 39 32 – 45
Assists 26 47 44 37 – 51
Saves 28 50 51 43 – 59
Shots 64 115 114 103 – 126
Demos 32 57 56 48 – 64
MVPs 5 9 9 6 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 88 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 412.8
Avg boost 49.9
Boost stolen / game 583.7
% time at 0 boost 13.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1519.8
% supersonic 14.9%
% time high in air 5.8%
Avg distance to ball 2765.2
% time attacking third 24.5%
Demos / game 1.3
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 34.2%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.92 0.93 0.8 – 1.0
Assists/game1.08 0.92 0.87 – 1.0
Saves/game1.17 1.17 1.11 – 1.33
Shots/game2.67 2.8 2.62 – 2.9

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
PublicEnemy#1 S23Veteran 1.071.01.11 0.94
Taiyo S25Elite 0.941.081.12 1.38
scotti S23Elite 0.950.961.46 1.43
BirdTerd999 S21Prospect 1.00.91.26 1.48
RollsRoyceOwner S17Elite 0.921.081.33 1.53
SYKXZ S20Challenger 0.931.01.2 1.56
taz.rm S19Veteran 1.01.01.0 1.58
Pillow S26Master 0.780.871.04 1.59
lowcortisol lurx S26Veteran 1.091.041.26 1.59
Meloaw S26Master 0.861.041.11 1.64

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.