Its_Bran

Rival - Dracos - 21-14 (0.600)
47 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 35 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 47/100 Tier dominance: 22nd (-0.8 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
11% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 342.0 11970
45th
Goals 0.57 20
23rd
Assists 0.6 21
61st
Saves 1.6 56
81st
Shots 2.03 71
21st
Demos 0.63 22
19th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points342.0 #480 / 1215 #73 / 164
Goals0.57 #732 / 1215 #103 / 164
Assists0.6 #344 / 1215 #50 / 164
Saves1.6 #170 / 1215 #26 / 164
Demos0.63 #732 / 1215 #110 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (35 → ~62 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (129 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11970 21204 21200 21200 21043 – 21357
Goals 20 35 36 37 30 – 43
Assists 21 37 37 38 30 – 43
Saves 56 99 98 100 87 – 108
Shots 71 126 128 128 116 – 140
Demos 22 39 41 41 34 – 48
MVPs 4 7 7 7 4 – 10

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 44 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 369.2
Avg boost 52.2
Boost stolen / game 508.9
% time at 0 boost 11.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1417.4
% supersonic 9.9%
% time high in air 3.7%
Avg distance to ball 2969.8
% time attacking third 19.9%
Demos / game 0.7
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 30.4%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Challenger12 0.830.831.67 333
S24Rival54 0.850.631.65 336
S25Rival63 0.620.681.73 378
S26Rival31 0.610.681.71 369

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.61 0.62 0.58 – 0.68
Assists/game0.68 0.61 0.54 – 0.67
Saves/game1.71 1.6 1.5 – 1.7
Shots/game2.06 2.25 2.17 – 2.35

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Its_Bran S25Rival 0.620.681.73 0.42
Assassin_funny. S22Veteran 0.50.611.5 0.92
Xero S17Master 0.70.81.7 0.96
Fineapple S13Veteran 0.50.621.62 1.05
steel.reserve S21Veteran 0.670.671.58 1.08
Barra S20Elite 0.750.691.69 1.10
depressed vibez S24Elite 0.680.611.58 1.10
steel.reserve S25Elite 0.540.541.48 1.11
Suckiest Sucker S26Rival 0.740.641.45 1.12
sl33pwa1ker. S26Elite 0.560.781.67 1.14

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.