Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 331.87 | 4978 |
|
| Goals | 0.8 | 12 |
|
| Assists | 0.33 | 5 |
|
| Saves | 1.47 | 22 |
|
| Shots | 2.33 | 35 |
|
| Demos | 1.6 | 24 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 331.87 | #568 / 1215 | #94 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.8 | #391 / 1215 | #59 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.33 | #813 / 1215 | #117 / 179 |
| Saves | 1.47 | #303 / 1215 | #58 / 179 |
| Demos | 1.6 | #109 / 1215 | #15 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (15 → ~27 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (116 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 4978 | 8960 | 9055 | 9055 | 8954 – 9156 |
| Goals | 12 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 17 – 26 |
| Assists | 5 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 6 – 14 |
| Saves | 22 | 40 | 39 | 42 | 33 – 46 |
| Shots | 35 | 63 | 64 | 66 | 55 – 72 |
| Demos | 24 | 43 | 41 | 41 | 34 – 47 |
| MVPs | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 – 6 |
From 15 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 362.6 |
| Avg boost | 49.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 566.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1514.0 |
| % supersonic | 10.4% |
| % time high in air | 3.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3129.9 |
| % time attacking third | 19.6% |
| Demos / game | 1.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 36.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S23 | Veteran | 7 | 1.29 | 0.71 | 1.29 | 346 |
| S24 | Veteran | 57 | 0.82 | 0.47 | 1.7 | 378 |
| S25 | Veteran | 59 | 0.81 | 0.56 | 1.95 | 359 |
| S26 | Elite | 15 | 0.8 | 0.33 | 1.47 | 363 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.8 | 0.74 | 0.71 – 0.79 |
| Assists/game | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.37 – 0.43 |
| Saves/game | 1.47 | 1.38 | 1.28 – 1.54 |
| Shots/game | 2.33 | 2.35 | 2.27 – 2.5 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defiance | S23 | Veteran | 0.85 | 0.37 | 1.54 | 0.69 |
| OurStevie | S25 | Challenger | 0.74 | 0.3 | 1.23 | 0.91 |
| derrrrrrrrp | S22 | Veteran | 0.78 | 0.38 | 1.49 | 0.96 |
| Lorak | S25 | Challenger | 0.74 | 0.37 | 1.74 | 1.12 |
| Whiffy_RL | S23 | Challenger | 0.69 | 0.51 | 1.49 | 1.14 |
| jknop2 | S20 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| Kaisaroh | S26 | Master | 0.93 | 0.32 | 1.68 | 1.16 |
| Mathews175 | S19 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.39 | 1.33 | 1.16 |
| BARDOWNSKI . | S26 | Challenger | 0.81 | 0.25 | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| mykul.457 | S17 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.25 | 1.38 | 1.19 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.