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Contender - Nebulae - 7-6 (0.538)
10 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 13 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 10/100 Tier dominance: 45th (-0.3 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
8% of games
Shot %
32%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 332.08 4317
63rd
Goals 0.77 10
59th
Assists 0.54 7
68th
Saves 1.23 16
62nd
Shots 2.38 31
56th
Demos 0.85 11
59th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points332.08 #563 / 1215 #41 / 134
Goals0.77 #438 / 1215 #45 / 134
Assists0.54 #462 / 1215 #35 / 134
Saves1.23 #548 / 1215 #42 / 134
Demos0.85 #558 / 1215 #46 / 134

Season projection

Low confidence

64% of the season is played (13 → ~20 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 4317 6642 6602 6531 – 6672
Goals 10 15 15 12 – 19
Assists 7 11 11 8 – 13
Saves 16 25 24 20 – 29
Shots 31 48 48 42 – 54
Demos 11 17 17 13 – 20
MVPs 1 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 46 /100

From 11 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 381.7
Avg boost 45.8
Boost stolen / game 356.1
% time at 0 boost 14.4%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1431.0
% supersonic 7.2%
% time high in air 1.9%
Avg distance to ball 3026.7
% time attacking third 17.0%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 39.0%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.82 0.77 0.69 – 0.86
Assists/game0.64 0.57 0.53 – 0.65
Saves/game1.27 1.27 1.2 – 1.35
Shots/game2.36 2.31 2.15 – 2.49

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
KittyMeowMeow360 S19Amateur 0.850.671.15 0.94
MeOnDisplay S26Prospect 0.850.581.42 1.01
jackk S14Veteran 0.750.621.25 1.12
Drebin. S21Rival 0.630.531.16 1.17
TDogPlayz S20Prospect 0.860.481.3 1.26
lXploitl S18Prospect 0.750.581.25 1.28
Dondo RF S18Challenger 0.70.551.4 1.29
Blitzzzzz. S26Prospect 0.690.691.46 1.30
Vires S22Rival 0.930.471.27 1.31
ILUVPINEAPPLPZZA S20Challenger 0.770.461.42 1.33

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.