LilPrsnWithAnger

Challenger - Hydras - 26-6 (0.812)
42 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 42/100 Tier dominance: 85th (+1.1 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
7
22% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 359.19 11494
68th
Goals 0.88 28
68th
Assists 0.84 27
92nd
Saves 1.09 35
23rd
Shots 3.0 96
85th
Demos 1.28 41
80th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points359.19 #347 / 1215 #43 / 166
Goals0.88 #275 / 1215 #41 / 166
Assists0.84 #67 / 1215 #10 / 166
Saves1.09 #688 / 1215 #102 / 166
Demos1.28 #229 / 1215 #27 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (69 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11494 19037 18962 18962 18825 – 19099
Goals 28 46 46 46 39 – 53
Assists 27 45 43 43 37 – 50
Saves 35 58 59 59 51 – 67
Shots 96 159 157 156 145 – 169
Demos 41 68 67 67 59 – 75
MVPs 7 12 11 11 8 – 15

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 43 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 259.0
Avg boost 57.6
Boost stolen / game 456.7
% time at 0 boost 3.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1460.4
% supersonic 7.5%
% time high in air 3.9%
Avg distance to ball 3103.7
% time attacking third 23.6%
Demos / game 1.2
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 31.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Challenger24 0.750.670.96 278
S25Challenger45 0.890.361.44 282
S26Challenger28 0.930.791.07 259

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~47 OVR High confidence — inferred from 1405 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 42.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)68632738-2553 52% 344
RSC (official)2813-11 54% 343
Non-RSC ranked 3v31405531-524 50% 301
Non-RSC other54302194-2018 52% 355

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Medium confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.93 0.88 0.82 – 0.96
Assists/game0.79 0.75 0.62 – 0.82
Saves/game1.07 1.07 1.0 – 1.24
Shots/game3.04 2.83 2.69 – 3.0

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Abeillonnaise S26Prospect 1.00.861.14 1.51
R4p S26Contender 1.00.621.12 1.56
Alextross S25Prospect 0.930.811.21 1.60
ShamuRL S13Master 0.880.881.0 1.63
Laguna S19Rival 1.20.731.07 1.68
Lord Ironskull S13Master 0.830.831.0 1.70
Dooober S21Elite 1.120.751.12 1.70
GreatHonda S26Veteran 0.930.741.11 1.73
Minjaaa S23Challenger 0.650.821.08 1.75
Jacobim Mugatu S22Challenger 0.950.741.47 1.81

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.